A rather frustrating day yesterday as once again the old dog in Brown Panther surfaced and that will be the last time it gets any coin from me thankfully tho my stake was saved on the lay on the Fav Estimate which as expected flopped but i did rather well elsewhere to bring a smile or two upon ones fizz ogg ;-)
Friday sees yet more glorious action from Goodwood and its the first race that really catches my eye as we see the re-emergence of ENCKE who lto beat the wonderful Camelot in the St Leger and is rated 120p now if this race had been its first since the St Leger of 2013 then we would be looking at a price in the region of 4/6 , possibly 4/5 but that imo would have been generous so lets settle on 8/11...but because it hasnt run for 685 days yes almost two years!!...its posted up on Betfair at a staggering 5.2...five point fucking two....this simply has to be smashed up...its one of those bets where you throw your money and go " if it loses fuck it , had to be done ".....its just too big a gift....if its fit enough to do itself justice and retains his old ability then it will smash these to bits...if it fails the Pethers Moon will probably be good enough to win.
Quest for Peace has been globetrotting with little success , Songcraft is very average , Battle of Marengo is pathetic, Aussie Reigns barely stays the length of its horse box and Cafe Society who won its penultimate start beating into 2nd and 3rd two horses rated 85 and 88...i will be fucking destroyed if shit like that can win...shouldn't even be in the line up...
So we have a match up...proven uber class form of Encke and current form choice Pethers Moon....If the old Encke turns up then its game over as it is realistically 10-15lb better than these at the minimum however he can run to 20lb below his mark and still be in with a chance of winning and Pethers Moon is the only viable alternative...
Bet Summary : MAX WIN on ENCKE with a stake back saver on Pethers Moon.
RESULT : Pethers Moon 1st @ 2.23 & Encke 2nd @ 8.55 ( hit 2.98 itr ) ...Good result with no loss.
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