Saturday, 23 May 2015

Morning all , lets look at Haydock today...

Well Hello there ;-),
                                 Feeling ropey this morning after a grueling 27 Holes were played yesterday at Howley Hall but what a beautiful course that is in fact i would say its one of the best tracks ive played in the UK certainly makes the top Ten overall and Top 5 outside of Championship Tracks , a delight to walk round ( need a buggy in truth ) picturesque and with some devilishly hard holes and compromising greens and i will certainly be going back...Thanks for that HGS.

Well there was obviously no racing for me yesterday and in truth there wont be much from me on a Saturday or Sunday in future unless there is something big happening as im taking these as days off but i will try n normally produce a card for Saturdays depending on time available thru the day.Today we have a very nice selection of races around the country with Haydock i think being the highlight and its Haydock that i will briefly browse thru giving you some thoughts of mine in regards to today's action and possibly steer you towards a winning bet or three.

So Haydock , The first race and it is a 1m4f Hcap with just 7 runners but a tight affair none the less.
Brotherley Company will have a great chance if it stays but has to prove it stays as i went out like a light lto so is on my list to follow but has to a bit to prove to be confirmed a future black type stayer.
For me i think the bet here is a straight forward Win Dutch on Hernandoshideaway and Fabricate @ 3.65 & 4.30 as i think these two on current form are a little better than the others but i will be very interested to view the run of Brotherley Company.

RESULT : 1st n 2nd and the RFC which paid over 12/1 ( Another one missed )

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (7)FabricateM L W Bell39-2A Kirby10/3
Held up in rear, headway on outside over 2f out, led over 1f out, ridden and kept on final furlong
2nd (1)HernandoshideawayM Dods39-0Connor Beasley3/1
Held up in touch, headway 2f out, ridden to chase winner entering final furlong, kept on, always held
3rd (3)5Brotherly Company (IRE)R A Fahey38-9P Hanagan7/1
Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, one pace final furlong, no impression with front pair


The next race is a 15 runner 2m Hcap which in truth interests me little so its with only the slightest of interest that i give analysis here.

Albert Bridge & Noble Silk are my two EW bets against the field.

Another Handicap is up next but this is a much better quality 3 yr old only 1m event with a decent field size and some very handy looking types about.
Mutarakez will take some beating in this based on its form shown after dominating a good looking field in the Esher Cup and a repeat of that run sees it win but was it a lifetime best or does it have more to offer?...for now i think its the winner but will dutch it with Moonlightnavigator as im quite keen on this long striding son of Henrythenavigator and i think this gutsy type could have them strung out as most of this field like to sit off a good pace and they will certainly get that today.

Result : 1st @ 2/1

The 1510 is the Cecil Frail Stakes over 6f and this is a very odd race to try and work out from a form and stats perspective with all the form all over the place .
There also seems to be imo a big divide in quality although the official bha rankings dont support this but i think a few of these are over rated due to races they have been in and not on what they have done.
I like DIVINE at around 9/1 as an EW bet as this is a sure fire improver and to a degree an unknown quantity and could be well in here with Gathering Power likely to show a better run as well this time.

And finally for the Blog at least today we have the Temple Stakes a brilliantly contested sprint over the years and this years again looks a strong renewal.
With so many exposed types i think a very solid play here is HOT STREAK ( NAP ) with Take Cover as cover.

Right gotta go so ttfn have fun n GL.


PS Notes : Barkston Ash will win again this season and is worth following EW now and stop when it does win and Navigate / Gold Will looks a decent Dutch to round the day off.

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