Wednesday, 6 May 2015

Roodeye...yes please ;)

Morning Folks ,
                         Here i am again with another Sun filled update as we hit the Chester trail a quirky track that the good doctor loves and used to be the stomping ground of family hills , they quite often hold some big races here and this mini festival is no different as they run out a few trials races plus a few more that are decent in their own right so i think its only right i have a look and will be paying close attention to Norton who if riding here is lethal.

The card for Chester Day 1 starts with a good little 2 yr old race and one in which im sure my Partner in Crime and Best Buddy Jason Coote from HCE will have a good word or two to say about and you should click the link to HCE and have a read as this is his area of expertise however for my avid followers i will try and dissect this race and see if i can do any better.
The Lilly Agnes Stakes is an interesting race as many a moon ago it was a big early season target for some tasty sorts however the years have eroded its placing in the racing hierarchy but its still a nice race to pick up with over £12k for the winner.Favourites have had a torrid time over the last 10 years or so faring very badly however nearly all the winners have been well supported coming from the group of 2ndF - 5th in the betting ( which i call low middle order betting ) so these are the types we need to focus on.
Lovely to see Chester Pro and Savant Franny Norton riding and anything he is on must be respected and in this opening race he is on the 2nd Fav Rah Rah from the MJ yard and this fto winner looked very good when winning over this trip on its debut however the form has taken several knocks since which considerably tempers my enthusiasm so its a no bet on this for me but i wont be surprised if it wins.
We will also need to focus on the lower drawn and more prominently racing types which gives us Fashionable Spirit and Silver Wings with Fashionable Spirit also coming from the MJ yard and Silver Wings being the Fav so that is a No No.
Fashionable Spirit stays on the list tho as a 20/1 EW rag that will surely improve for a very average debut when 2nd at Chelmsford and this son of Invincible Spirit has everything going for him today so is well worth a few sheckles from anyone's ew pocket.
ASTLEY HALL is the one i like for the Win but is also a rock solid EW bet and one for the accas , this big son of Dutch Art won fto in a very good time and although running rather green and having to be shown the whip at the 3f pole plus had to be cajoled with the whip a couple of times coming into the final 1f powered home in a very strong fashion and won with a bit in hand and this will come on the proverbial ton for this run and with Ryan Moore having been booked one would think this is in this to win and the 5.80 looks a very good price to me whilst Three n Me from the wily Turner yard could run a place at a big price.

The 2nd race on this card is the Cheshire Oaks a Listed Filles event over almost 1m4f and with 10 lightly raced sorts this could prove to be a very interesting race indeed with previous winners including Wonder of Wonders , Light Shift and Gertrude Bell showing that this race oftens provides something rather useful with Wonder of Wonders running placed in both the English and Irish Oaks subsequently.
Aiden o'Brien has won this race 3 times in recent years and this year runs Diamondandrubies and this comes here with a very strong chance having been an easy winner on its debut and then getting badly impeded when running placed in a Listed event at Navan and this strong travelling type promises much more but at 3.1 i just cant decide on a bet or not as i had it down at 5/2 so thats a huge negative and after having done my tissue i would be a tosser to now back it so guess i will have to swerve it...although im not happy about it.
For me as a betting proposition i think a big Fap dutch or EW Dutch on Zamoura & What Say You is the order of the day with both around the 10/1 mark this offers endless amounts of value and both will come on massively from their debuts.

The third race on a busy card is the tough 2m2f CHESTER CUP and this is a real stamina sapper yet has attracted a brilliant field of 17 which is on this occasion not bad for the punter as you can easily dutch three runners from the middle order and have a good run and a cracking chance at some coin.
here is a list of the runners i think you should focus on for no reason other than their odds.

And the final race i will cover today is the 5f Sprint and this will also be covered by my compadre E.R.I.C the winning machine and sprint savant.
For me i like the look of COME ON DAVE , CONFESSIONAL and B FIFTY TWO as all have most boxes ticked and come at a price that allows a dutch .

I will try and update later or tmrw with some results but for now its adios amigos....have fun and Good Luck.


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