Friday, 1 May 2015

1000 GUINEAS ~ Sneak Peak ~

Well Good Afternoon Douche Bags , 
                                                            Thanks for the few of you to bother interacting with me thru the day....it does make a difference to my day it keeps me occupied and chipper ;-)...even when discussing the tedium of Median Times with Eric lol....

Well i would usually start by dissecting yesterdays card however that doesn't run until tmrw so we will just cut straight to the thrust and move on with the Sunday card at Newmarket where the highlight will be the 1000 Guineas..the Fillies are out today ;0.



Well we start the day off with an impossible looking Handicap over 1m4f with 17 runners and this is a punters Nightmare.
The choices i make here will be speculative at best as it an almost impossible task and i feel a lot of PP punters will have been burned at the first hurdle.
QUEST FOR MORE is the first of my three against the field as this likable sort run some very solid races last term and looks the type to hold and carry his form forward as has been previously shown , WATERSMEET is the next and tis free ggoing front running and typical of the sort MJ trains could be a few pounds better than his current mark and could be quite well in here and if given an easy enough time up front could lead them a merry dance.
Finally we will have AGENT MURPHY who is a lightly raced sort from a stable i like and comes into this with any amount of improvement left and could be anything really so there you have my three very speculative selections against the field...who knows?./..certainly not me.

Next up is the DAHLIA STAKES for fillies and its over 1m1f which is i find an interesting trip as it can often find a few out.I think RIZEENA is the Class in this event and has shown she carries her form very well , stays the trip and will enjoy the ground conditions so imo will run a big race and i will be very surprised if she doesnt make the frame and a reproduction of her Win in the Coronation stakes puts her in with a big chance of winning.
Im not quite what Bragging has done to deserve to 2nd highest rated in this race as i have it 10lbs below its mark and for me still has a lot of improving to do just to make the others work.
FINTRY however could be very useful and doesnt have to improve much to be up there and with already having some solid form locked away i think this will be bang there and for me is another placer with strong win claims and i feel the remainder are much of a muchness so the Win Dutch on these two looks a very strong bet with even a RFC a strong looking exotic.

The third race of the day is another punting nightmare...a 23 runner sprint hcap...this is where the mighty ERIC machine comes in but for me i think i will use a certain someones new lucky pin.
Realistically tho i have to take three on against the field and for me they are HUNTSMAN CLOSE who i like because .............well it has four legs...,SHORE STEP and HILLYBILLY BOY again the other two are based on not much more than a gut instinct and thats really all i can say ( there is some science involved but im not getting into the science of gut technology ).

The 4th race today is the days big event the 1000 GUINEAS the Fillies Classic and with 13 runners on perfect racing ground this should be a decent race.
Not a great race for favourites and a shock or at least a surprise is not uncommon. Lucida is the market leader in this at around 4/1 but doesnt have the most consistent of profiles having Won the Rockfel and then did little in the Fillies Mile this is for me not a horse to trust and although its not currently worth Laying is best left alone as a betting proposition.
Local Time will have plenty of supporters on the back of a glittering set of runs in Meydan which also included a win in their UAE 1000 Guineas and the 20/1 to me looks too big and has to be worth a few quids ew of anyones money.
Osaila has a nice chance based on her fto win in the Nell Gwynn but statistically the race is of little importance regarding this so i will look to have another ew with another big priced runner and this is TERROR a horse i had been given rave reviews about and had backed it for the Nell Gywnn however it didnt run due to the ground so fingers crossed the reports were good and i can get some place money ;P and finally i will have my idea of the actual winner in FADHAYYIL who at around 10/1 looks a stonking good EW bet and will not have to find much improvement to be at the minimum the equal of the best of these , when it got beat by Lucida it ran very green and with some maturing and strengthening this could easily turn the tables although the same comments can be easily applied to a few.

In the Maiden i have had some goods spoke of ACADEMY HOUSE  , Then we move onto THE PRETTY POLLY STAKES a race that has produced arguably a better winner than the Guineas in many a year and tis years race looks a doozy.
ZANNDA this years jolly looks this bizzo in a race which appears light on real class with only Winters Moon and Teosroyal only the others to have reached a level worthy of winning a race like this and Zannda looks like it could be a good bit better than this lot having shown she stays no problem she can battle will like the ground and has shown so far no quirkiness this could be the real deal...but i guess only time will tell however im making this my NAP for the day.

In the finalei will again be on BROTHERLEY COMPANY as i know Fahey is quite sweet on this and although he is in another Handicap he is thought to be Listed or group 2 class at the minimum and possibly hopes of more and this could go off at a very workable price and becomes my EW NAP.

Have a great weekend folks as te weather is now in the 90's im gonna be spending mine on the beach...Adios ;)

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