Friday, 18 November 2011

GoooooooooooD Morrrrrrrrrrning!!!!

Well what a fucking fuckety fuck up yesterday was , fucking computers , great when they are good , a nightmare when they fail...;-((((.
So back to it with a bit of catch up to be had and i have to knock a few winners out for Trish the Acca Queen ;-) , it seems i should go to Ascot today although i really like the look of Kempton...but i can only post one up today...hmm and Haydock looks a money spinner.... decisions decisions.......!!..

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*****ASCOT*****ASCOT******ASCOT*****ASCOT*****ASCOT****

13:00

BACK - SIMONSIG - ( NAP ) - 1st @ 1.25
VALUE - N/A -

MULTI - N/A -
LAY - N/A -

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13:35

BACK - SOLIX - ( NB ) - 1st @ 1.87
VALUE - NO SECRETS -

MULTI - N/A -
LAY - BLUES AND TWOS -

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14:10

BACK - TED SPREAD -
VALUE - CINDERS AND ASHES - 2nd 3.73

MULTI - TINDARO -
LAY - BROADBACKBOB - 1st @ 2.96

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14:45

BACK - ROUGHAM -
VALUE - BALZACCIO -

MULTI - RESTEZEN D'ARMOUR -
LAY - PIRAYA - 3rd

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15:20

BACK - SWING BILL -
VALUE - BALLYCARNEY -

MULTI - STONEYS TREASURE -
LAY - PROPHETE DE GUYE -

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15:55

BACK - DECOY -
VALUE - FEATHERBED LANE -

MULTI - CICERON -
LAY - PACHA BERE -

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INFO *** CHATS *** GOSSIP *** THE WORD *** MY MATE TOLD ME ***
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Right , right...fuck me we have some horses running today , been quite a long call discussing not only our horses but a few others and a few future engagements....so, as i don't have 3 hours to project the entire conversation and key points i will just go thru the horses and give a clip note synopsis....

1. SIMONSIG - Not the greatest jumper but very quick between the fences and travels effortlessly if the jumping holds up he wins , however i wouldnt be rushing to take 1.26 about a horse that has kicked more hurdles out the ground than run over...Should win easy tho.- 1st , Won very very easy , exciting prospect.

2.SOLIX - He loves this and really wants this to kick on for an exciting season , again...if he jumps well he wins..thats it , also in this race runs Secret Witness from the Greatrex Yard , this is an exciting sort who is very useful and will have a good year no matter what happens today , they have no idea  on how this will do today , this is an acid test......Solix - 1st @ 1.87

3.BROADBACKBOB - Wont be winning this today ( famous last words....Thanks Nick ), they had a few problems with this and has been hard to train and get right and they are running this now just to get a run into him, is a nice prospect , just troubled , could easily run into a place as this isnt the strongest race but will probably find one too good, the interesting horse here is TED SPREAD a horse that has always been pitched in at the deep end and a horse i nibbled at ante post for in the Derby , has a great of ability ( rating of 105 is false , more like 92 ) , if he can translate that ability to this sphere then i would say he is a good thing , but i have no idea until i see it run....1st @ 2.96 ( slightly fortuitous imo )

4. BALZACCIO - This was mentioned as Nicky tried buying this for himself but the opportunity never arose and it went to a partnership , however he really likes this and after its 17 length demolition LTO he expects this to confirm the fact this is a horse who is on the upgrade. - Unplaced , jumped poorly , never really in the race , always struggling.

5. BALLYCARNEY - This is not a horse nor connections i have any personal dealings with , however i do have connections and talk with both Emma and the breeder of said horse , Ian Kellit who in return have share info 2nd hand or otherwise on their selected runners ,  During an email conversation with Ian this horse was mentioned and it was said that it badly needed its run fto this year and will strip fitter now racing over a trip almost 1/2 mile shorter , this will be bang there , could it win , ? ,  yeah but the better option would be a Win /Place bet say around 70% place and 30% win.

6. REMEMBER NOW - He likes this but being Binocular's half brother has bought about its own pressures and is not in that league however this is a tidy sort that just burnt itself last year , its form is really only moderate and i wouldnt advise anyone to take a short price about this, my advice, watch it over the first two fences, see how its travelling then back or lay.....- Stone last, easy lay , easy money....

7.NADIYA LA VEGA - Doesnt expect this to win , the run will be good and informative but he feels that Toubab is nailed on here and it will take a fall or two for this to get involved....1st @ 6.82 ( very lucky, Fav fell when looking every bit the winner ).

8.MOLOTOF - A good looking sort , exciting but again he feels he is up against it versus Plenty Pocket , they are level on speed ratings which backs this up , it really is a coin toss between the two however the lack of confidence would have me believe that today is plenty pocket's day.- 1st @ 1.52 - Won very well and has guts , easily the best of these.

9. CITY PRESS - Totally stumped with this , as it carries em all at home and travels like a world beater but has done nothing to note on a race track , ran really well lto after making most only to completely empty out in the final 2 furlongs , if he can settle and fully get this trip he would be 1/10 to win but just impossible to predict , will travel most of the way like the winner and then ??? , no advice given , but i for one will be backing massive pre at the current odds and more and will trade out in running as this will def go shorter in running...- Unplaced , held up out the back and never in it.

10. ITS A PRIVILEGE - Breeder / Owner contact info - This is a very looking sort who is well upto winning any maiden and is a good improving type , has ran behind other decent horses when placed , This looks Ma EW material , i for one will be having a Max 80% place bet with 20% on the nose , but i think that the place is nailed on .


MAX PLACE ONLY TREBLE  :
1.BALZACCIO - Unplaced - Very Disappointing, jumped poorly , never travelled.
2.SURE JOSIE SURE - 4th ( well beaten ) - had the winner in my lay list ( desert cry ) as i thought it had to much weight , all in all a very tidy performance from the winner.
3.ITS A PRIVILEGE -

MAX WIN :
1.SOLIX - 1st @ 1.87

MAX LAY :
1. NADIYA LA VEGA - 1st @ 6.82 ( Toubab would have won as easy had it liked , but fell 3 out )

****************************MULTI***********************************

1 Ascot 18th Nov - 00:35 Backing: Solix @ SP
2 Ascot 18th Nov - 02:55 Backing: Decoy @ SP
3 Haydock 18th Nov - 23:50 Backing: Remember Now OR Afsoun OR Sir Tantallus Hawk @ SP
4 Haydock 18th Nov - 00:20 Backing: Toubab OR Shadrack @ SP
Your Bets
4-Fold from 4 selections
1 lines at $1,535.81 per line
Total stake for this bet: $1,535.81
Potential win: $30,225.83
Bet references: 26531224
4 Selections Chosen
1 Ascot 18th Nov - 02:55 Backing: Featherbed Lane OR Ciceron @ SP
2 Haydock 18th Nov - 23:50 Backing: Afsoun OR Remember Now OR Sir Tantallus Hawk @ SP
3 Haydock 18th Nov - 00:20 Backing: Toubab OR Shadrack @ SP
4 Ascot 18th Nov - 00:35 Backing: Solix @ SP
Your Bets
4-Fold from 4 selections
1 lines at $2,000.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: $2,000.00
Potential win: $69,646.85
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Whatever your play , have a great day.
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