Wednesday, 20 June 2012

Royal Ascot - Day 2


ASCOT - DAY 2
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RACE 1
WIN - VALBCHEK -
EW - SENTARIL -
LONGSHOT - TELWAAR -
*To start Day 2 off we have a ridic tough Jersey stakes , a 7f charge with 26 runners...this really is Magic Pin time...,The three i like the most here are Firstly VALBCHEK who is on the horses to follow list , this has won both his two races to date in facile fashion and looks like a step up in trip is readily needed , well thought off  and good looking this athletic sort will rise to the top but will it start today? , Secondly i really quite like SENTARIL a highly regarded sort from the Haggas yard that has also won both his two starts with the greatest of ease , this will have no problem with being upped in grade or trip and could prove to be a bit special , and finally i like TELWAAR a strapping son of Haffad that won the European Free Hcap in great style before getting run of his legs in France and with Soumillon taking the ride i fancy this to go well at a decent price ( currently 40.0 but i think will go higher ).
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RACE 2

WIN - CHACHAMAIDEE -
EW - NAHRAIN -
LONGSHOT - EMOULOUS -
*Next up is a strong renewal of the Windsor Forest Stakes over 1m for the older generation and here we have a horse i like very much CHACHAMAIDEE who came 2nd in this race last year after looking the winner with just 1f to go and getting nailed late by Lolly for Dolly  and after an effortless victory fto this campaign i expect her to be ridden up with the pace and forge on a bit later so she cant get distracted, this is not say to say she is a shoo in mind as she faces some stiff competition most notably EMULOUS from D Weld ( IRE ) and NAHRAIN from the Varian stable with the latter winning 4 or her 5 races last term including the Prix de L'Opera and was also a superb 2nd in the Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly And Mare Turf , so she has some rock solid form , this will be a very high quality race and one to saviour.
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RACE 3

WIN - CARLTON HOUSE -
EW - FARHH -
LONGSHOT - RELIABLE MAN -
*The Prince of Wales Stakes now and its over 1m2f and is again for the older generation and here we also have my LOTD in SO YOU THINK currently at 1.95 in a very lop sided market this has to be taken on..why??.. well firstly all the field can improve on what they have shown , they all have potential to run a big race, they all have past or current form to figure and the 2 times that SYT has run here at Ascot it has been beaten and both times it was long odds on , Yes if SYT runs to the very best of his ability and form he should win this but im fucked im taking 1.95 on a what if when there are so many other possibilities in the field , if it wins i will take it like Debbie from Dallas...all over the chin.
So what do i think can win well i will highlight 3 as usual that i personally feel have a chance against the hot fav , Firstly we have CARLTON HOUSE  the queens horse and last years Derby placer a horse that just doesnt quite stay 1m4f but does enjoy every bit of 1m2f which he showed when easily winning the Brigadier Gerard stakes at Sandown lto beating Sagramor and Hunters Light with great ease this could be his true trip and he could easily rule at this trip today will be a true test of his potential and he should show that hes up to it , Secondly , we have RELIABLE MAN who if he can recapture the form when winning the Prix Niel is not without a chance and Finally we have the Highly rated and unbeaten FARHH a horse with any amount of potential and improvement although this is a big jump in class , in all honesty an on song SYT wins but at odds on im happy to take this jolly on..good luck.
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RACE 4

WIN - BOOM AND BUST - 
EW - BONNIE BRAE - 
LONGSHOT - INVISIBLE MAN - 
*Now its the Royal Hunt Cup and its one of the most competitive 1m h'caps of the flat racing season and this is no different with the full 30 runners lining up i suggest you place a mask over your eyes , get someone to pass you a pin ( preferably a magic one ) and whoosh ..bang it down and see what happens!!....
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RACE 5

WIN - LADY PHIL -
EW - SATSUMA -
LONGSHOT - GRAPHIC GUEST -
*Next we have the Queen Mary Stakes a 5f dash for those imo just rated below the best but thats not to say these are poor , far from it in fact this looks a good renewal with quite a few nice sorts running as you would expect and with Baileys Jubilee disappointing last twice i will rather regrettably be over looking that...The quickest three i have on my speed ratings are LADY PHIL , SATUMA and GRAPHIC GUEST and i will be using my speed ratings as a guide in this race as i have no real personal views.
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RACE 6

WIN - ELECTRELANE -
EW - DEVOTION -
LONGSHOT - FALLS OF LORA -
*And finally in the " getting out " Stakes we have a 1m fillies listed hcap which is full of ifs buts and maybe's...oh my , what a way to finish the card...and again unfortunately i dont have any real view or perspective on this race so my selections will be mainly based on personal ratings .
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