Tuesday, 30 July 2013

Goodwood - Day 2 -

                                              

Well its fair to say that not only was my NAP utter Pants on Tuesday but the whole card was very light on winners and winning opportunities , a rare day where nothing went as i thought or expected and this was compounded with some poor luck and questionable riding but it does happen and i simply cant keep smashing it every day , but i really fell for Sachas Park and expected so much more ( Beaten into 5th beaten nk , nk , 2L , nk , nk ) and i kinda smashed into that and even tho i told myself  " Place Lay for cover and if it hits 3.1 dump it all " i refused to be disciplined and paid the price , note to self : dont be such a twat...that will tough tho as im an awesome twat ;P....

So onto Day 2 and time for a recovery but will today hold anything for me to aim at??...

Lets take a look....

GOODWOOD ~ DAY 2 ~

RACE 1
WIN - LIEUTENANT MILLER - 2nd @ 8.20
EW - GASSIN GOLF -
LONG - KAZBOW -

SUMMARY : Jeez day 2 starts off with an incredibly tough race, 20 runners racing over 2m5f....Magic Pin?...fucking " Miracle Pin " is needed i think...
.The Johnson and Henderson yards have enjoyed recent success in this and both are doubly represented today. Mark Johnston runs the out of form Good Morning Star and last weekend's Ascot winner Broxbourne. The latter carries a 3lb penalty and has something to find on earlier running at Doncaster with Lieutenant Miller while Nicky Henderson's other runner Courtesy Call ran below par in the Queen Alexandra Stakes over today's trip at the Royal meeting. SOHAR was beaten just over three lengths in the latter race at Ascot which was a fine effort considering he had to race on such unfavourable terms. Back in a handicap with Frankie on board, he's fancied to make a bold bid and reverse running with third-placed Seaside Sizzler. Beyond, Sula Two and Beyond Conceit are others to consider but Kazbow and Italian Riviera are upped in class for this wide-open marathon..
I do know for a fact that team Hendo' are keen on Lieutenant Miller and that will attract a bet from me as they are unsure of  Courtesy Call.

*
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 2
WIN - EXCESS KNOWLEDGE - 2nd @ 2.97
EW - ELKAAYED -
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : Small turnout for the Gordon Richards Stakes a group 3 over 1m4f for the 3 yr olds but a closely matched one at that with EXCESS KNOWLEDGE  being the standout as this has form in the book and an improving profile although if the ground gets any softer we may end up in unknown territory.
*Cap O'Rushes was in the the Irish Derby to ensure a good pace for the disappointing Libertarian but ended up staying on well for fourth. He has his first start for new Godolphin trainer Charlie Appleby here and is preferred to Saeed Bin Suroor's Secret Number. The latter finished virtually upsides with the front-running Elkaayed when a couple of lengths behind Remote at Ascot. John Gosden trains Remote and his EXCESS KNOWLEDGE looks to have leading claims in this after a third behind older and much higher rated horses at Sandown. He should relish today's longer trip and gets the vote. Havana Beat finished just ahead of Testudo when third at Newmarket last time but both have plenty to find in this company as does Spillway. 

*Another race that carries a hard luck story ;((..Grrr..
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 3
WIN - DAWN APPROACH - 2nd @ 1.90
EW - TORANADO - 1st @ 3.90
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : Now its time for the race of the day and possibly the race of the Meeting as we have the Sussex Stakes and the much and eagerly awaited Match up between TORANADO and DAWN APPROACH ( met twice already with Dawn Approach winning both although the last one was a contentious victory ) and there will be little to separate them today.
This is a tough one to call for the winner but i will say this..the Dutch is paying 1.24...yes 1.24 and that is possibly the greatest bet this year and will be the easiest Money i make all year!!....yes its only any good if you lump but i would tell anyone that listens..empty your bank account, empty your savings and pile into this dutch like there is no tmrw!!!..£1000 staked for the easiest ever £240 profit.......
What will win tho imo...Honestly its a toughie but i thought pre Derby Toranado was the better horse and i still do and i am expecting this to truly justify its lofty ( with me ) reputation and come out on top.

*Dutch Paid 1.33 in the end..Excellent result.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 4
WIN - PARBOLD ( NAP ) - Ran no sort of race* - 3rd
EW - OUTSTRIP - 2nd @ 7.83
LONG -

SUMMARY : Another smallish field for the Cliquot Stakes which was won last year by the impressive Olympic Glory and Hannon goes for Gold again with his two entries however i find it inconceivable that Expert will be anywhere near good enough to win this after just hanging on lto in a Class 4 Maiden which was weak.
PARBOLD it has been said by the trainer is a horse that he loves, holds in high regards and is one of the best 2 yr olds he has ever had...quite a statement from someone that has had thousands pass through his fingers!! and this was backed up by a good win in his maiden then a very decent 2nd in the Coventry and easily accounting for a host of other good sorts including Lanark and Parbold for me is the likely winner here and will be getting a decent wedge from me.
Outstrip could prove the best of the rest but is largely untested. 

*Out the back, pushed along from halfway and never in it , the first two home both look very smart.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 5
WIN - VALONIA - 1st @ 4.80
EW - AUTUMN SUNRISE -
LONG - MUCH PROMISE -

SUMMARY : Next up is another very tough to call , competitive maiden and this looks almost as tough as yesterdays ( in which i failed so miserably ) but this time its harder because so many have some form and most of it is good form.
i think the three with the strongest form are the ones to focus on and they are MUCH PROMISE , AUTUMN SUNRISE and VALONIA with slight preference for the latter.
*It's a bit of a surprise not see Richard Hannon's name among the list of winning trainers in the last 10 years and AUTUMN SUNRISE could that right. She followed-up a promising debut with an even better effort at Newbury earlier this month and Richard Hughes prefers her to the newcomer Arranger. Much Promise found just the one too good on her debut on the Polytrack and she'll need to be winning this if she's to take up her entry in the Cheveley Park Stakes. The same comment applies to Valonia and Merletta who also have engagements in September's Group 1 race. Stars Above Me is out of the family of high-class filly Soviet Song and looks best of the newcomers.
*
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 6
WIN - RIBBONS - 1st @ 5.09
EW - JABHAAT -
LONG - GREAT TIMING -

SUMMARY : Another cavalry charge in this 1m1f Hcap with its 16 runners..Last month's maiden winners Close At Hand and A Star In My Eye look dangerous lurking at the bottom of the weights for their handicap debuts. Great Timing beat Forgive at Newbury on her latest start and can confirm running despite the worse terms while Opera Box isn't out of this as she steps back down in trip after just failing to make all over 1m2f. Jabhaat is not certain to appreciate the longer distance but it should prove no problem for the unbeaten RIBBONS. James Fanshawe's filly is upped a further 7lb for her latest win at Newmarket but an earlier victory over a mile at this track boosts confidence and she gets the nod. Saucy Minx is another course winner with a shout off her current mark.

*
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 7
WIN - BRAVE ECHO -
EW - MAGIC CITY - 1st @ 7.60
LONG - GOOD AUTHORITY -

SUMMARY : Impossible race to finish on..Magic City remains in fine form and won again at Epsom last time. However, a high draw hasn't done him any favours in this and GOOD AUTHORTY is fancied reverse earlier running over track and trip on better terms. The latter ran below par behind Askaud at Leicester on his latest start but is only 3lb higher than when scoring over course and distance in June and a return to this venue should bring out the best in him. Brave Echo got his head back in front at Deauville last time but both he and Spirit Of Sharjah have a bit to find with the principals as does Tidentime. Nenge Mboko has a penalty and a rise in class to contend with after rattling up a hat-trick over 6f and recent Ayr winner Alejandro makes more appeal..

*
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

A couple of nice bets to be had with the rest of the card looking very bookie friendly and i will be taking it easy today...But we do a cracker to look forward to, happy punting and GL ;)..ttfn x.

Much better day ;))

Translate

Copy Halt