Saturday, 6 July 2013

Hot Sunny Saturday at SANDOWN

Morning Folks and what an absolutely stunning day it looks across the country ;)....and what a bloody good days racing we have in store with 4 solid looking meetings and some damn good races mixed in with the highlight probably being the Coral Eclipse which has always been a race victory much sought after as it carries a lot of Kudos with past winners coming in the shape of Mtoto , Nashwan , Dancing Brave Pebbles and See the Stars which as you can see is an impressive roll of honor and will certainly look good when the winner is sent to the breeding shed.

Fillies tho have quite a poor record in this race with some fancy fillies turned over previously and the last winner being Kooyonga some 21 years ago in 1992 and with that i feel The Fugue can be easily left out even tho i think its a class Filly and is capable of getting involved ( should strip fitter now and will almost certainly be the freshest ) but im not convinced she can turn her form around with Al Khazeem who for me is the most likely winner.

Had a decent enough day yesterday with 3 solid winners and some fair places and just missed out on the PP with one race in which my main hope was pulled up lame mid race ;( and rather cuntishly it paid an amazing £2076.00 ffs!!!...and i had it for 4 lines and even more infuriating is that i had originally earmarked both the Beckett runners but just went with the 3 with experience....Damn!!....

So onto today and the card it will be pretty much business as usual , thru card dutches and PP but no multi as im using my Stat Bets for the Multis , so lets get a crackin'!!...


LONG - BEACH  CLUB - 1ST @ 12.20

SUMMARY : Nice looking Class 3 to start the card off , reasonable field in both size and quality and Khalid Abdulla looks to hold the aces here with PLOVER & PYTHAGOREAN and it hard to look past them tbh as Kyllachy Rise and Beach Club will both have to show at least 10+lb of improvement to get involved with the remainder having form that is questionable at best ( although Khalids pair dont fare much better ) , this is a bit of a punt tbh but is the only bet i can find here.

SUMMARY :Another decent size field 9 for punting ) and a good looking and competitive sprint which sees a few familiar faces lining up against each other but the BIG question is can the wonderful MINCE find its form , can it recapture the Zest from last season can it throw off the rug of disappointment as quite frankly its last 2 runs have stunk the house out!!, the one plus is this field is made up of largely inconsistent beasts , the one negative is that most can win this as they all have the ability and if on a going day could all cross the line together...
We all know i love Kingsgate Native and this could easily win if in the mood and prior to a dog shit run in the Kings Stand had won a very very competitive renewal of the Temple Stakes and a run to that level will do but consistency is not its strong point and i think any bet in this race has to be done on trust.
TICKLED PINK is the most likely to run its true race and this drop to 5f will suit after showing a heap of pace over 6f and only just tired in the end lto when trying to make all this should get the run of the race and could easily fend the chargers off.
WIN - WENTWORTH - 3rd @ 4.29
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : This is typical for a Satdee Card a 16 runner 1m Hcap...wheres me Pin??..
However i will be having my 2nd biggest bet of the year in this on WENTWORTH a group class horse racing off a low weight with allowances in a Hcap...Lumpety Lump time ( with a small saver on Windohek ).
Plenty of this 17-strong field arrive in top form with five seeking to follow up recent wins. Gaul Wood carries a penalty for scoring at Windsor on Monday but was behind Roserrow here earlier. The latter is on a hat-trick of course and distance victories, though may struggle to confirm latest running with Danchai on slightly worse terms. Prince Of Johanne often runs well in this big-field handicaps while Asatir gamely held off favourite Rockalong at Salisbury 10 days ago, though there shouldn't be much to choose between the pair at today's weights. Capaill Liath and Postscript both have more to do than when scoring a couple of weeks ago while Tigers Tale keeps finding one too good. We like the three-year-olds against the older handicappers in this with WENTWORTH due a change of luck. He's met trouble in-running in both starts this year and looks better treated than Windhoek, despite the latter's valiant efforts in strong company the last twice.
LONG - WOODLAND ARIA -Bollocks...ALL Unplaced ;(

SUMMARY :Next up is a mid size field for the Distaff ( Fillies ) but it looks quite tight on my ratings and i feel this will be a bunched finish.
NARGYS is very interesting as the Cumani fails from a few weeks ago have all started to run to form and this is another that is capable of running with 20lb of improvement on its debut run and should be followed.
There are a few interesting runners here principally Lovely Pass and Integral however i feel the 2nd,3rd and 4th ( Nargys ) from the Sandringham are the only ones worth a look here as that was a cracking race and any one of the three concerned can win today.

Auction finished just ahead of Woodland Aria, NARGYS and Light Up My Life in the Sandringham Handicap at Ascot but Luca Cumani's filly comes out best at the weights today and can open her account for the season now she's proved she stays a mile. Ollie Olga, Masarah and Lovely Pass all ran in the Coronation Stakes but none of the trio was involved in the finish. This is easier but they all have a bit to prove now. Integral has only won a Goodwood maiden but the second and fourth have both won since and Sir Michael Stoute's daughter of Dalakani has bags of scope, She could be a surprise package, but Private Alexander may be out of her depth.
WIN - AL KHAZEEM - 1ST @ 3.07

SUMMARY : Time for the Big One and its the CORAL ECLIPSE a tremendous race with a slightly sub par renewal feel to it although i do feel that if the seasons races havent taken there toll on AL KHAZEEM then this is a done deal , AK is the only tru Group 1 performer here although The Fugue should improve for her seasonal bow and Mukhadram is on a upward curve and if ridden with a tad more restraint could easily be involved in the finish.
AK beat Mukhadram , The Fugue and Camelot lto catching the runaway leader ( Mukhadram ) in the final 50 yards but wont allow him so much rope this time and i see no reason why the form should be reversed , Mars is a pile of steaming shit and Declaration of War is currently no better than a Group 3 performer and will have to improve by at least 20lb to beat AK , Miblish..No Chance and finally Pastorious has a squeak if everything goes for him and against the field as people talk about his run behind the brilliant Frankel as tho it was a wonder run..well it fucking well wasnt, got toally stuffed and was only 3L clear of 100 rated master of hounds who was last ( not inc pace maker ) on that one piece of form that everyone wants to crow about it has at least 24lb to find....gtfo....wouldnt be backing it with Forged Coin...
WIN - CAUCUS - 1st @ 2.70

SUMMARY : Finally we have the Esher Stakes a tough ol 2m challenge with a small and select field.
Chiberta King won this in 2011 and was third to Cavalryman 12 months ago. He stayed on gamely to land the Queen Alexandra Stakes over 2m6f at Ascot last month and is a leading player again. But CAUCUS beat Cavalryman at Newmarket in the autumn and made a very satisfactory reappearance when runner-up to Ascot Gold Cup heroine Estimate in May. That run suggests he may have the beating of Model Pupil and Repeater, behind Estimate at the royal meeting last month, so he gets the nod. Biographer is a consistent sort and may well be suited by the step up in trip but York runner-up Bite Of The Cherry may have stamina limitations. Duke Of Clarence won a Goodwood handicap last month but needs to improve significantly to get involved here.


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