Wednesday, 10 July 2013

Newmarket July Meeting ;)


Well Howdy folks!! , its two days to me summer Jollies and im stoked but before i go i get to enjoy a couple of days of racing Nirvana that is Newmarket ( HQ ) and tmrw we have a card that would befit and super Saturday!!...superb stuff with some right ol class out n about...gotta love racing when its this mouth wateringly good and i feel some el lumpo bets coming on for tmrw...Im not going to do a full card for tmrw instead i will just give a glimpse of what i like in each of the first 6 races....

RACE 1 :
FEEL LIKE DANCING : 1st @ 4.15
I have to stick with this as i feel their is a big win in this and it almost had it lto but was just done by Leading Light over 2m in the Group 1 Queens Vase at Royal Ascot and this 1m5f will be no problem but it will need a strong pace or will have to take the brave route from the front as this lacks some toe in acceleration but does have a high cruising speed and stays and Buick should be looking to make this as tough a test as possible , current price of 4.40 is only fair  , anything under 5.2 and it has to be a Win bet likewise anything over and it becomes a max EW ( Std WP 30/70 ).

I have reviewed, replayed and adjudged every fraction run by these and every way i do it the same three come out on top by a clear margin and they are ( in no order ) ..
FIGURE OF SPEECH : 2nd @ 5.28
These three look well above average have all run and won in very good times, they will like the ground but i cant split them however at the current and expected prices there is plenty of room for a 3 way dutch ( Current prices a dutch Pays 2.42 which i think is a sensational bet ).

I have been waiting for this to run all season, a quirky madam that has been beset with training issues ( 5 yrs old with just 7 runs ) but has run in Class 1 last 5 times and has won 4/7 including the last two and obviously has a good deal of both ability and scope and this is currently a beautiful looking 6.60 which is some price considering the way it blew aprt its fields in both the Lilly Langtry and Park Hill ( Slamming Royal Ascot 3rd and Pretty Polly winner Ambivalent along with Gallipot et al ) , if this is fit and well it wins..simple, if its last two runs were just say 4 weeks ago then this would be no more than 6/4-7/4 so to say your getting 6.60 for a proven group /Class winner over a trip and ground it loves just because its coming off a break...well your mad if you dont consider it., for me its a Max EW.

RACE 4 :
SPACE SHIP : Unplaced > Garbage run and race...
This is arguably the toughest race of the day and you really should try and find something in double figures in this as its wide open and Space Ship comes in at 10.0 to just about be my selection, i had previously slated this as a bit of a rogue as it had looked like a non trier but its gallant place in the King George V stakes at Ascot  ( was 2L in front of Cap o Rushes who then ran a good 4th in the Irish Derby ) has led me to alter my ranking of this and i think its upto winning a race of this nature and stature, my alternate in this for a fun ew would be Royal Prize with Quinn riding for Beckett.

ORIEL : 3RD @ 3.18
A good looking maiden with some powerful yards and big names about But Oriel was Hughes chosen mount for the Queen Mary in which it never really got going but its earlier 2nd when badly hampered, impeded and blocked looked good and Richard ( Jockey ) must have felt he was on a good un before and is staying true to his beliefs and i will take that tip in itself and follow suit although i do feel 2.80 is plenty skinny enough....i will be hoping for a drift as i will be plumping for some bfsp action.

RACE 6 : 
MONTRIDGE : ( NAP ) : 1ST @ 1.69
This is a horse i really really like , first time out in a maiden it smashed useful yardstick Pythagorean by 6L ..going away , then on its next run it beat multiple Stakes winner Baltic Knight by a head  ( cosy ) , on its 3rd run  and its first try over todays trip of 1m it was badly hampered but still ran on only to be denied in the dying strides by eventual Irish Derby Winner Trading Leather ( only beaten 1/2L ) but still pissed all over the likes of Glory Awaits and Galileo Rock ( 3rd in UK Derby & 2nd in Irish Derby ) ,On its 4th run ( seasonal debut ) it was woolly and lethargic and in a small 5 runner field was comfortably held into 3rd by 98 rated Guest of Honour so with that run under its belt it took on Al Waheb in the Heron Stakes another 4 runner small field falsely run race took place however this time it absolutely demolished them winning as he liked beating 94 rated Mango Diva by an easy 4L , and finally its last run was over an inadequate 7f in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot where it ran 2nd just getting done in the shadow of the post by Gale Force Ten , so back upto 1m here in this field this has MAX BET , UBER NAP written all over it and i will be absolutely shocked if this doesnt win.

SO there you have it, some fascinating races, and some wonderful bets to be had.....come on boys n girls Fill them boots ;)))...TTFN X


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