Saturday, 10 May 2014

French Guineas on Sunday...

1000 - LESS TALK IN PARIS - Unplaced but i got the win with me 4 way dutch....;-~) 
 as Avenir Certain WINS...



RESULT - Did ok with the Dutch...

Less Talk in Paris is a good looking CD Winner ( not far off a double CD winner ) and is improving and with Mendizabal riding you can be assured a smooth passage round it will take some smart runs to see this not place imo in what looks a sub standard renewal i think this has every chance.

Decathlete is another CD Winner and this win came lto in what was a very smooth win and with track specialist Guyon riding is another certain to be given every chance and should be another winner for Fabre / Godolphin.

Early prices are 4.25 / 5.25 but will be subject to considerable change in the next 16 hours or so.


OTHERS TO NOTE : Both NEWSROOM ( 4TH @ 4/1....Why do so many EW bets come 4th...Grrr and ADELAIDE  ( 2nd @ 3.95 ) are worth looking at in the earlier races and both could be slung in for a nice EW L15 ( or similar ) as both arrive here with very strong chances.

Over in Ireland we have the Derrinstown Trials races and both have some very good looking prospects on show , Firstly however we must make a mention of MUSTAJEEB in the Amethyst Stakes ( earlier race ) as Weld has won this race the last three years with Famous Name and now sends this , currently has a diary stacked full of fancy engagements and Group 1 entries this will have to win rather well to warrant his place among the Elite...but thats not beyond the realms as the form behind War Command is as good if not better than anything on show. - 1st @ 4.60

Right onto Trial Nos 1 .
This is an Irish 1000 Guineas Trial  but i like one that isnt entered into any classics currently and that is STARS SO BRIGHT...another Sea The Stars progeny..which tbh doesnt bode well as i feel the progeny of STS have been anything but bright stars in fact most have been a bloody big disappointment but im hoping this one can climb the ranks and show some real worth in a tough looking race but one that doesnt look anything more than a decent Group 3 and i feel as both Weld and O'Brien come here with strong looking early season types you may be able to grab a decent price and i wouldnt overlook Waltzing Matilda and if the prices allowed i would def advise a FAP DUTCH. - Poor runs from both in truth however it was a SEA THE STARS progeny that won in the shape of the Weld runner Afternoon Sunlight....

In the Derby Trial we have another Aiden O'Brien hotpot to overcome although admittedly this Geoffrey Chaucer looks a very strong sort indeed and any form of natural improvement or progression will make this very hard to beat however its my view that it will have to improve to both win and justify the fancy prices he attained with the hype, two runs last year resulted in 2 Victories and both were over 1m  now stepped upto 1m2f for this it will have to show some strengthening in the paddock and on the track as it was pushed along , nudged and nurdled in both Wins , never travelling that well at the finish and the rider had to work both times so im in no way convinced a strong run 1m2f will suit...time will tell but for me i much prefer the look of proven stayer and CD winner FASCINATING ROCK who is all speed on the sire side but all stamina thru the dam and this very good looking type could easily prove the match of GC and could well turn out to be a very smart Gp 1 horse....this will be a proper race for sure as we have no pacemaker, no front runner and everyone wanting to race off the back of someone else...will be very interesting. - 1st @ 2.14
WIN Double - 

and ALL 7 named selections in EW 4 folds....Unplaced , Non Runner , 4th ,  2nd , 1st , Unplaced and 1st....

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Should make for an interesting day...


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