Wednesday, 14 May 2014

York Dante DAY 2

Well Evening All ,
                           I hope everyone enjoyed DAY 1....i know i certainly did as the days two biggest bets come good for some tasty profit with the EW NAP Regardez coming 3rd @ 8.80 and my big fancy for the sprint MAAREK winning @ 16.10 there were obviously a few disappointments along the way but only in the races with limited financial involvement so overall i am a happy chappy , moving into Day 2 and this looks a toughie...although i will be rather surprised if my NAP fails me...if that wins then the day is good..if not then i gotta hope i hit in some of the others....


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YORK  >>> DAY 2 <<<

RACE 1

WIN - JUDGE N JURY -
EW - DESERT LAW -
LONG - NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM -

SUMMARY - Thankfully this is only one of two crazy Hcaps today unfortunately the other is the " Getting out Stakes " so lets hope we are in a good spot at that time....
So to start the day its a 20 runner 5f Dash...for 4yr olds +....this will require an awful lot of luck in getting right or the horse will have to be group class in waiting and your a shrewdie that knows it....unlikely as most if not all will be rather exposed.
Desert Law does have a bit of class but even for a sprinter its super inconsistent and its spent a while chasing rainbows in Meydan so who knows what to expect ?...but on back form it has every chance but the ground is a concern on the plus side Fallon is riding so if its ready to go and in the mood he will give it every chance.
..Ancient Cross loves it at York ( Won this race Twice ) and usually saves his best runs for the venue however he is progressing in his years and will have to really pull out all the stops here , not completely ruled out but i would be wanting at least 50/1 to get involved not the shitty looking 22/1..
JUDGE N JURY is another CD Winner ( this race in 2012 and only beaten 3/4L & a Neck in 3rd last year) and although his form figures make grim reading you can Gtee he will have been primed by his astute trainer for a strong tilt at this and i feel on the balance of form it has a very strong chance indeed.Finally i think we should include Normal Equilibrium who arrives in peak form , is fit and has good experience of the track and these type of races having been placed twice at York in big field Hcaps and if any of the usual suspects fails this could sneak in.

NOTES : Another crushing start..fuck these big Hcaps...;-P

RESULT :
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RACE 2

WIN - SECRET GESTURE - 2nd @ 5.20
EW - AMBIVALENT - 1st @ 5.41
LONG - THISTLE BIRD -

SUMMARY - Next up we have a modest renewal of the Group 2 Middleton Stakes over 1m2f for 4 yr olds +  with 9 runners and most looking to have a good chance this is a tricky race , on the balance of form available only a couple stand out but on back form there are around 6 or 7...AMBIVALENT comes into the reckoning as this has been lightly raced since winning the Pretty Polly stakes and with a couple of spins over at Meydan through the winter this should be cherry ripe for this , will need to improve slightly but is still open to improvement and must have a big chance.
SECRET GESTURE could easily be the class in the race forgetting its last run previously had run placed in the Oaks * 2nd  , followed by another 2nd in the German Oaks and a 3rd in the Yorkshire Oaks. I feel this is still open to further improvement with stamina assured if its ready to race it should win. 
Both the LARK and THISTLE BIRD have the same rating on my books and both come into this with almost identical chances and both have the capacity to get involved but they will both need to improve and show some resilience....Mango Diva is being shipped into the deep end and may find this company a bit hot however if the leading fancies fail to show this could surprise along with Gifted Girl.


NOTES :

RESULT :
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RACE 3

WIN - TRUE STORY ( NAP ) - WOW...How disappointing was that....Was hard at it fully 2f out and could never match The Great Gatsby.......Thats a shocker...i really thought this was the real deal...time for a shuffle then...
EW - N/A -
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY - Now we move onto the days big race " THE DANTE " and with just the 6 taking their place it can be said its a disappointing turn out for a race worth £85k to the Winner...but to many its still " just a trials race "...On the Balance of form this is a two horse race , in the red corner we have the hugely impressive TRUE STORY who is as low as 11/2 for the Derby after a scintillating win lto and will take a world of beating in this , in the blue corner we have BUNKER from the Hannon yard which has previously been in France and lto had beaten the very smart Krakonite ( Recently Won the French 2000 Guineas ) and was a good 2nd in the Chesham behind Berkshire however this is now stepping up from 6f to 10f...Big difference and we currently have no idea at all as to whether or not it stays but on Breeding i would say yes for sure as its rare that any progeny of Hurricane Run fail to stay but at the same time not many can sprint so this may be an anomaly.....

NOTES :

RESULT :
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RACE 4

WIN - FURY -
EW - SPAS DANCER -
LONG - TALES OF GRIMM -

SUMMARY - Now we have the Hambleton Hcap over 1m and again another race for the oldies with a few familiar faces and plenty of inter weaving form this could prove rather tricky for the punter....SPA'S DANCER ran a cracker in the Spring Cup and if in the same mood will be up there come business time...Ingleby Angel should give a good account as should Fort Bastion on past form but the 2nd selection we look at is the inFURYating FURY...a horse with Group 1 class and ability but an attitude that quite frankly stinks....He hasnt won for almost two years now with his last win actually being in this very race 2012 but he is now fully 10lbs lower and this slide in the weights and with Ryan doing the steering could see him net another Win.
Finally i think we should have TALES OF GRIMM who i feel has been let in quite lightly here , proven on the ground , proven in the grade and not without a good amount of ability on his day he could easily surprise.

NOTES :....Nothing i can say about this debacle....

RESULT :
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RACE 5

WIN - JUSTICE DAY - ( NB ) -
EW - ECCLESTON -
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY - Next up is a small field 3yr old dash and its a conditions race ( like a Hcap with Knobs on ) and its another tight affair.
This imo will play between JUSTICE DAY and ECCLESTON with the former getting the NB vote as its bare form is well clear of anything else achieved and if this has grown and wintered well then it will take a group class run to lower its colours but if it does fail to shine then Eccleston is best placed to make hay as it looks an out n out sprinter and i will be a bit shocked if this doesnt run well.

NOTES :......Going for a walk to see if i can manage to pull my head out my arse....

RESULT :
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RACE 6

WIN - GAUDY -
EW - SILVER RANGER -
LONG - BONDS CHOICE -

SUMMARY - Tricky maiden waiting but i have had some good reports regarding GAUDY and this will be my first point of call with Silver Ranger and Bonds Choice the others.

NOTES : LoL...this about sums up my day...

RESULT :
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RACE 7

WIN - CAPE TRIBULATION -
EW - EAGLE ROCK -
LONG - CALCULATED RISK -

SUMMARY - High-class jumper Cape Tribulation last ran on the Flat at this venue in October 2012 where he just failed to concede weight to Mashaari. He'll think he's been let loose with this weight and has to be on the shortlist despite an absence since Wetherby on Boxing Day. Calculated Risk had been in winning form over hurdles before reverting to the Flat with an unlucky in-running effort at Pontefract and his stablemate Hidden Justice landed a tough handicap hurdle at Haydock in March. Albert Bridge scored over timber at Plumpton before a placed run behind Whiplash Willie at Salisbury and Man Of Plenty made a promising reappearance at Doncaster which should have brought him to the boil. If the ground dries out as expected, EAGLE ROCK can gain his third success over the course and distance. He was highly tried after his last victory in September so it's a surprise that he's just 1lb higher and his trainer will have him fired up for this.

NOTES :

RESULT :
_________________________________________________Lets see how long the Placepot lasts today ;-~~

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