Wednesday, 7 May 2014

Away Tmrw..so some early thoughts...

Well Day 1 of the Chester Meeting went well even if my much vaunted Nap got so well beaten i think its still running...The Good Doctor had a decent day in winning the big race and the one race he stated this morning was on his wish list..in fact he got 1st/2nd ( FC paid £71.66 ) and that was obv a Win for me as i dutched his five at double figure odds ;-)...as i out of the office all day tmrw i shall post up some early thoughts....

Chester Day 2 ( Straight thru so Keep Up.... )

We start the day off with a Hacp over 1m2f for the oldies ( 4+ yrs ) and it looks quite tight  ( 6/1 the field )  but has plenty coming into this with some respectable form and at first glance i would say any one of around 6 could win.
Ex Cecil in mate Squire Osbaldston is a frustrating type as its got plenty of ability but rarely gives his all , Sennockian Star is reliable and is sure to go well , Wigmore Hall has the back form to carry these home but isnt the force of old , Thats Plenty is an unknown but has to be respected , Yeager has a solid chance but his usual hold up and charge tactics may not be best suited here if a horse gets a jump off the bend so i will have a go with the Donal Mccain inmate GABRIEL THE GREAT a progressive son of Montjeu whose last run can be discounted as it missed the break completely , Donald is himself no stranger to having a winner here as he trained the excellent Overturn to do the biz and will Lee doing the steering this will come into this having every chance , fitness assured i rate this a solid EW bet ( Currently 11.0 ).
Next up is a decent looking renewal of the Huxley Stakes over 1m2f and again for the oldies but i have my NAP here in the shape of NOBLE MISSION again racing over his ideal trip on a course that will suit and play to his strengths i see this again leading out , making all and not getting pegged back in the softening ground , Telescope is expected to do better than be 9L behind Noble Mission last time as that run was nothing like what he can do however at this trip there are not many better and if NM has recovered from his last run he will win.
Now for the days BIG race the Chester Vase and this looks a cracking renewal with some very nice sorts on show.
Both the O'Brien pair in Orchestra and Carlo Bugatti have leading claims as their trainer seeks a 6th win in the last 9 years however both will have to be well above average to win Scotland , Romsdal and Seagull Star to beat however the bet for me here is a good looking EW on STARS OVER THE SEA ( 14/1 ) as i really thought the run behind Our Chanel lto was a good un and any form of progression on that sees in the money and with some luck in running could easily out run his odds and go onto win this , but...like i said this is a tough race where many hold chances but at the odds i like it as a sporting bet.
Now we have a tough looking 7f Hcap for 3 yr olds and its another where half a dozen come into the reckoning , CAPTAIN BOB ,  Muteela and Our Gabrial all have leading claims with the former just favoured by me.
Nice looking Maiden next up and Beacon comes into this well fancied by connections but has a shitty draw to overcome ( we have seen that negated a few times already ) and with a good clean break will take all the beating but this is another i would to see the trap first then decide..quick getaway equals bet..slowly away and its a lay , BILLY SLATER has been kept nice and warm for this and the yard i know like this one a lot and i will be very surprised if this doesnt show up very well and at around 10/1 is in my opinion a cracking EW bet.
Race six and its a Hcap and its JAZZ for meand in the finale i would look at DISPOUR and Long Journey Home.....if all else fails just back all the Koukash runners as im sure he will hit at least 1 today but could easily hit 3 such is the strength in the camp in these targeted races, good luck and have fun.

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