Friday, 23 August 2013

Hey You...

From Mountain View...either drop in say Hi or Jog on ya stalking is becoming ridonkyaless now...and i know its the Home of Google ?? is the Corporate Mafia spying ?...anyway...Friday's Summary : ...Absolutely Fantastic!!!...Backing the Firmers at Ffos Las resulted in 5 winning bets from 5 with winners at 23.40 , 12.50 , 8.0 and i also had a " Fun " £2 on Joe Sugden which then Won at an amazing 365.00 for a very unexpected bonus and the Stat Lays hit 6 from 6....the only truly fucking annoying thing was the PPL..had 6 races , selected the final one as the top rated race and watched the first five all become winning bets ..then sat and watched in agony as the 6th race become the only losing selection on the day...Fucked off i was i tell thee!!....GGrr,,,Sods Law...i have posted plenty on here about the great performances of PPL and the brilliant results however i will also say this..August has been a fucking Nightmare!! least £800 Down...and no sign of any sudden upswing as just about everything has gone against us!!....Roll on Sept...( Good Job im about £15 Thousand in profit from it )......

The Ew selections i posted up for York on Friday performed with great credit but the day pretty much panned out as i expected...with a few shocks and surprises as it looked that type of day and those of you that read the blog properly will know i did say that following York CD winners regardless of their current form always pays off and it transpired that i was i correct as JWALA won the Nunthorpe at 106.00 and this wasnt the first course specialist to be winning over the last couple of days..and the Stables that do well here..often do well and the Ryan and O'Meara yards have both been in sparkling form ( often saving their best for here )....and we head into the final day , pockets loaded and hopes high and try to tackle the Ebor...

                                                         YORK DAY 4

WIN - SIRIUS PROSPECT - 1st @ 3.82
EW - REX IMPERATOR - 2nd @ 3.25

SUMMARY : A nice little Listed race to break us in for this final day and over 7f you will see a few familiar faces popping up but only Sirius Prospect is a CD Winner but its the two 3 yr olds that look to be a class apart in this , Firstly we have the highly tried Cristopho Columbo who is easily good enough to take down an event like this if in the right mood but i still feel GLORY AWAITS is the one, equally as classy as runs behind Dawn Approach , Montiridge and Trading Leather have shown this deserves a decent win and is good enough to carry these on all recent form he gets the weight allowance due to his age yet is highest rated and gets pound for pound pull, this is an outstanding EW bet.

BET NOTES : ( Only General advice tho, as im subject to change as i try to work dutches into all my Bet choices ) : MAX EW on Glory Awaits.- NON RUNNER ( As well as Cristofo Columbo ) - 

Full Result

1st (3)Sirius Prospect (USA)D K Ivory59-0 hR Winston5/2
Held up behind in touch, switched outside and headway over 2f out, challenged 1f out, soon ridden, edged left and led well inside final furlong, held on £1250-£500(x2)
2nd (8)nkRex ImperatorW J Haggas49-0 pN Callan9/4f
Took keen hold, soon tracked leader, led over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed narrowly well inside final furlong, kept on, held when not much room towards finish
EW - GREAT HALL - NON RUNNER ( Fav Placed for PP )

SUMMARY : The Melrose and 16 runners line up for what is considered the Ebor consolation prize racing over 1m6f this is one tricky puzzle....Havana Cooler must be on the shortlist as it looks like its been laid out for this and Cumani is still in decent form this won a decent Hcap over 1m4f and was running but will the 10lb rise be too much??.
DEBDEBDEB is one i like very much , progressive and aggressive this is a multi trip winner on most normal ground types and will def be involved come the finish.
Great Hall and Hawk High also have solid chances in what looks one of the toughest races this week if not the toughest to call.

BET NOTES : Small Dutch on the trio..not a race to get too financially involved in..but should be great to watch.

Full Result

1st (16)Dark Crusader (IRE)A J Martin38-13F M Berry8/1
Held up in rear, smooth headway over 2f out, driven over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, kept on £4000-£500 £1600-£200
2nd (13)Dashing StarD R C Elsworth39-4 hL P Keniry16/1
Raced wide early, led and clear with one other, headed after 4f, tracked leader, ridden and every chance over 2f out, kept on to chase winner inside final furlong, held towards finish opened 14/1
3rd (10)nkHavana Cooler (IRE)L M Cumani39-2R L Moore11/4f
In touch main group, headway towards stands side 3f out, ridden and every chance over 1f out, one pace when wandered inside final furlong, 3rd and held towards finish £3500-£1000 £2800-£800 £1100-£400(x5)
4th (2)13 Divergence (IRE)M L W Bell38-6Louis Steward (7)16/1
With leader and clear, led after 4f, ridden inside final 2f, soon pressed, headed inside final furlong, kept on same pace opened 14/1
5th (7)½12 DebdebdebA M Balding38-8David Probert8/1
Mid-division, ridden to chase leaders 1f out, kept on same pace under pressure final furlong, never on terms
WIN - ASTAIRE - 1st @ 6.70

SUMMARY : The Gimcrack , a great race yet a smallish turnout however this is packed with class and shud be a corker and on form alone not much separates these however we have to examine a few factors firstly i dont think Saayer will win with a penalty, Parbold was doing all his best work at the death lto and that was over 7f so although a CD winner i think he is a miler in waiting and......well im kinda stuck here...gonna sleep on this and continue in the morning.....**Right its not quite the following day but it is 2207pm and ive had time to mull...Now i dont think Cable Bay will be as effective on the softer ground and i dont think Justice Day is good enough so that rules 4 out leaving ASTAIRE , WILSHIRE BOULEVARD & MY CATCH and as the three are all currently 5.8 or higher i am going to just the three as there is very little to split them.

BET NOTES : 3 way Dutch.

Full Result

1st (5)Astaire (IRE)K A Ryan28-12N Callan5/1
With leaders, led narrowly over 3f out, ridden over 1f out, held on gamely final furlong opened 11/2 £1650-£300 £5000-£1000
2nd (6)nkWilshire Boulevard (IRE)A P O'Brien28-12R L Moore4/1
Behind, slightly outpaced 3f out, switched right over 2f out, headway under pressure over 1f out, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, closed on winner and went 2nd near finish, just held opened 5/1
3rd (3)nkParbold (IRE)R A Fahey28-12T Hamilton11/4f
With leader, driven over 2f out, ridden and effort over 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, held when lost 2nd near finish opened 3/1 £6000-£2000 £4500-£1500 £900-£300(x2) £1200-£400 £1100-£400(x3)
4th (4)½Cable Bay (IRE)C Hills28-12R Kingscote11/2
Tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, not reach leaders opened 9/2 £1650-£300 £36000-£8000
WIN - TED VEALE - 4th @ 6.20
LONG - TIGER CLIFF / SUN CENTRAL - 1ST @ 7.06 / Non Runner

SUMMARY : THE EBOR and the pinnacle of the weeks mini festival at York and the Days biggest race, run over 1m6f this is a very tough race to win and it does quite often go to one at a big price.
Ted Veale comes into the race on the back of a couple of wins and does carry a penalty but this has been the subject of quite a large gamble and connections had a very tidy pick up on Friday at Newmarket with Quick Jack and at 9.8 is worth considering as a saver at the minimum.
I have also received a tip for this and itis also my selection HANOVERIAN BARON @ a far more enjoyable 44.0+ this was pulled from a race on thurs as soon as they knew they could sneak here on bottom weight, it is in form and its form figures although not flattering only tell half the tale and im convinced im gonna get a big run from this.
Tiger Cliff and Sun Central will also have a say in the outcome and shouldnt be under estimated.

BET NOTES : EW on Hanoverian Baron for me , nothing crazy but a decent bet with a trade at 1/4 bfsp.

Full Result

1st (18)11 Tiger Cliff (IRE)Lady Cecil49-0T P Queally5/1
Mid-division, driven over 2f out, ridden to chase leaders over 1f out, ran on well inside final furlong, led near finish £2200-£400
2nd (22)½10 Genzy (FR)Ian Williams59-0R Kingscote11/1
Held up in touch, challenged over 2f out, ridden to lead 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, edged left and headed near finish opened 10/1 £2000-£200
3rd (1)1Number TheoryJ R Holt59-9S Sanders16/1
Tracked leader, led 2f out, soon ridden, headed 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, 3rd and held towards finish
4th (17)116 Ted Veale (IRE)A J Martin68-13F M Berry9/2f
Awkwardly away, behind, headway over 2f out, soon outpaced, ridden and stayed on to take 4th well inside final furlong, never reached leaders £5000-£1000 £2500-£500 £2000-£400
EW - OUTER SPACE - Non Runner ( Fav 2nd and a Place for PP )
LONG - HOT STREAK - 1st @ 4.54

SUMMARY : Now we have a 5f Sprint for 2 yr olds ( Cootey territory ) 8 runners and most have a decent shout here so some luck maybe required.
EXCELS BEAUTY is def the one they have beat , rock solid form locked away , consistent and straight forward this has speed to burn and a rating of 100 if true and fair and it will take a superb performance to lower his colours.
The two that could cause most problems both have around 16lb to find in core improvement and around 8-10lb on adjusted but both Hot Streak and Outer Space could easily improve enough to win.

BET NOTES : Will wait until the market forms proper tmrw but im thinking just an EW on Excels Beauty.

Full Result

1st (5)Hot Streak (IRE)K A Ryan29-0J P Spencer3/1
Slowly into stride, soon tracked leaders, headway when hung left inside final 2f, ridden to challenge when edged right 1f out, led inside final furlong, stayed on well on stands side rail final 100 yards opened 10/3 £1750-£500 £1400-£400 £3333-£1000
2nd (6)Mecca's Angel (IRE)M Dods28-9P Mulrennan2/1f
Raced keenly, with leaders, ridden and effort over 1f out, stayed on to chase winner inside final furlong, just held on for 2nd opened 9/4 £4500-£2000 £1800-£800 £1125-£500 £900-£400
EW - SENNOCKIAN STAR - 2nd @ 4.60

SUMMARY : Now its just a standard 1m2f Hcap..Mark Johnston runs a couple of three-year-olds in this with Joe Fanning riding the ultra-consistent Sennockian Star. But four-year-olds have generally held sway in the contest in recent years and ROCKALONG can continue the trend. Luca Cumani's charge handled the step up to 1m2f at Newmarket last time and today's easier going is in his favour. Strictly Silver is no stranger to carrying big weights and is aiming to follow up a recent victory at HQ while Charles Camoin popped up at a big price on his reappearance at Ascot and should strip fitter here. Spirit Of The Law is another recent winner and Ruscello is usually thereabouts, though wouldn't want the ground any softer. Sam Sharp won over 1m1f here in June and also deserves a mention, though is high enough in the weights now.

BET NOTES : Dutch.
PlacePot LANDED 8 Lines ( £2.00 ) = x 2 PP Payout > £ = £

" Hanoverian Baron's owner, Paul Moulton, is thrilled and surprised the eight-year-old made the cut for the race.
He said: "We declared him for Friday because we thought he had a 10% chance of getting in the Ebor, but by some miracle he got in. He likes York and seems to have run all his best races there.
"He's eight now and is off nearly a career-high mark so we're not expecting any miracles, but if he was in the mix that would be great.
"He nearly won the Jorvik Stakes for the second time earlier this season when he was just touched off by one of Mr Stoute's horses (Sir John Hawkwood), but the young boy (Michael Murphy) got a good tune out of him so he rides him again. There's so much money on offer we had to run once he got in."


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