Thursday, 16 July 2015

Could be an interesting Thursday...

Hi Yall ,
             Well yesterday was as poor as i thought although my 2nd n 3rd rated Longbow won but without any bets from me as a few decent priced rags won but it was a slow day for me from 8 races with selections we only hit 2 winners ( 7/2 & Even's ) so a smallish 3.5 Point Loss on level stakes but the NAP was a winner which got me ahead for the day after i doubled through on that after losing a couple of mid afternoon bets i shouldnt have been involved with so it wasnt all doom n gloom and todays fayre isnt much stronger but we do have Hamilton to look at and the Goldie/Dalgleish roadshow will continue i hope and im hopeful Berry has one or two here as its his favoured course and although he does have a woeful SR he can hit a big priced winner and if its going to be anywhere then Hamilton is that place whilst we also Have our very good friend Marc Shukman's horse Avon Scent running over at Chepstow and i will run a rueful eye over that and a few of the others we that being my main meeting of focus today as they will be heading down.

So lets start the day with a Glance thru CHEPSTOW ,

A nice 10 runner Hcap to start the day with the 10 runners and a ton of weight splitting them but all the form on offer is much of a muchness so the bottom weights could sneak the monies here.
Hit the Heights arrives as the only runner with any relevant recent form but i will be buggered if im taking 3.50 about any runner in a race such as this and thats not to say its a lay as it isnt its just no value as a punt.
This is the type of race in which Harris could easily supply the winner and his DIAMOND VINE is probably worth sticking in the selection box as cover but realistically i think TOP COP is the one to be on at around 7/1 as its a solid option against the Fav and should be good enough to at least get a place with Spray Tan the only other likely to get heavily involved but i dont think the 8/1 is a great price but if it drifts to around 12/1 or better then i would consider it an option, this is a poor race and the Fav has this to only lose and you could make an argument in for not dutching the fav but getting enough on to cover your stakes on the rags. - TOP COP 2nd @ 5/1 ( 5/2F Wins and i had the Tri-Fecta at 53/1 but failed to back..again )

RESULT : 

A poor maiden next and i would say a " fun " ew on the Evans Runner DIGI ( 33/1 ) but for me its a no bet race and i think Shukkers should stay at the bar ;).- 4th @ 23.66 ( Only just beaten in the last 50 yards and only then by a Neck )

12 Runner Hcap now and this is much better for the punter.
Back in the day the duo ( both Harris ) Light From Mars and Secret Witness would have carried these home as both were solid 100 rated sprinters and they could contest all the years big events but age has taken its toll along with racing in general and as such their own form is now far removed of which it was but they can still produce a run of ability every now n then in the lower grades but at around 8/1 each they dont offer anything as a punting medium as i would need double that to take the risk but dont be surprised if they hose up.
I think ANGEL WINGS is worth keeping onside as this improver has a ton of ton relative to the field and although beaten 5L lto that was against far superior opposition than this and really should be getting involved the 7/1 is an ok price but i want 8/1 then it becomes a decent ew punt, Vincetti is also worth noting forget its last run and then this is right in the mix but you will need 20/1 to have it as a bet in a tough race which also features a couple of Bradley runners so for me personally the bet here is a 5 way dutch on the rags ( 2-3-5-6-11 ) with a money back cover on Angel Wings.


Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (1)Midnight Rider (IRE)B R Millman79-8Oisin Murphy8/1
Held up in touch, headway over 2f out, soon chasing leaders, ridden to lead inside final furlong, flashed tail well inside final furlong, held on
2nd (4)nkCool Bahamian (IRE)Eve Johnson Houghton49-12 v1J P Fahy3/1f
Slowly away, behind, good headway near side over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong, 2nd well inside final furlong, ran on, just held
3rd (7)¾Light From MarsR Harris109-7 pMikey Ennis (5)7/1
Chased leaders, ridden and kept on same pace inside final furlong, went 3rd final strides
4th (8)hd13 Bonjour SteveR J Price48-9 pTom Marquand (5)4/1
Chased leader, challenged 2f out, led briefly 1f out, chased winner until well inside final furlong, lost 3rd final strides
5th (11)Angels Wings (IRE)C Hills39-4S J Drowne8/1
Slight lead, ridden and headed 1f out, weakened well inside final furlong

RESULT : Nos 3 Midnight Rider Wins for us and its a BooM ;-)
( Level Stakes Dutch and 6 was a Non Runner )

Another shockingly poor Hcap to get involved with , perfect in size and content but the quality on offer is dire.
Knight of the Air looks a solid bet in this at 5/1 a well fancied fav lto that got caught up in a muddle of a race and one that is best forgotten can easily get involved on the form of the two races prior.
Gypsy Rider is the only other viable alternate in what is a race of the poorest quality and not even the Longbow can find a decent rag to punt on and i can only hope that Div 2 of this race carries more.... Well this is the race in which Marc's AVON SCENT runs and golly its a damn awful race in truth!!..i would dearly love to see this win but on the basis of what its actually shown on the track so far i cannot say that it has endeared itself to me in any way and can offer nothing but hope and i dont even think the 33/1 is of any value..yes that poor indeed...However it has been discussed and trivialized before and we have mused over reasoning's , hood , visor, trip , ground, tactics and in truth for a lot of most of its races it has run with pace and enthusiasm however when push comes to shove it finds or does little now this could be more than lack of ability as i do think it has some however its application of such is the focus here as it could be a case of her simply not enjoying her racing , she may get bored and as silly as it may seem some just get excited by he day out go for a 3f sprint and then think..." thats it now..hay time "...and simply dont bother and that could be such a factor here so its fingers crossed and good luck but from a punting view i like the look of THE REEL WAY at around 8/1 who has genuine excuses for not competing stronger in the last couple and a modest affair such as this looks within her scope but again personally i wont in on the single instead im going to have an EW Double with Knight of Air from the previous race and hope they both place at least for a nice profit ( and a couple of squids on Avon....Just in case ). -  Avon ran a much better race in 5th but still well beaten and i dont see this ever winning now in truth and all i can do is wish them well , The Reel Way was bastard 4th and as Knight of Air was 3rd thats me EW double on the Kyboshed..fecking 4th..again..sigh but only for nibbles and fucking dicky will be wooping as the sheistyer would have backed the Harris runner to win this as he mentioned it on our Facebook page and it won at 14/1!!!...deary me...

RESULT : 

The remaining 3 races are not on my radar and are left alone...so thats Chepstow dusted off and all i can say is Good Luck Marc/Debbie X.

Do we have anything at Hamilton to whet our appetite today ?....
The first race is a Maiden and as we know its not my thing however QUIET REFLECTION is a horse that interests me as i fancied this the other day but it got pulled out due to the ground and this Lowther Entrant could be different gravy from a yard that knows the time of day with their Juveniles and this rates a strong win bet.- 1st @ 2/1 ( Won by an easy 5L )

Alan Berry has Electric Qatar in the next and at 20/1 its having some ( although im not sure in what format yet ) , he also has Partners Gold in the next and that is also 66/1 so a small fap at least is worth including. - 2nd @ 15.50 ( Beaten a S.H )

POLARISATION looks nailed on in the next but its impossible to predict exactly what any MJ horse will do. - 1st @ 4/5

Moonlight Venture and Indian Chief should scrap out the finish in the next whilst it would be a shock if Glad Tidings got rumbled ( 1st @ 3/10 ) and JAY KAY pissed up lto and the Hat Trick looks a cert on form but i will also have a fun nibble on the berry runner and may stick a sheckle on the rfc as its an astonishing 100/1 lol..but Jay Kay has this to lose only.- 1st @ 5/6

Well thats another poor days racing covered with no real Longbow bets to look upon , some shorties for quick Cash and some bonkers bets for fun EW acca's but no real serious bets today.

RESULTS :

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