Tuesday, 14 July 2015

EW Trixie at Beverley..

Morning Race Fans ,
                                 Well from the four mentioned selections yesterday we had an unplaced , a 3rd @ 9/2 , a 2nd @ 5/2 and a 1st @ 3/1 for a level Stakes ( EW ) 1 Point Profit yesterday so not a total disaster and if you can still turn a profit on a bad day then its a great day on the punt ;).

Today sees us with a typical amount of nothingness for a Tuesday and i will be looking at the 3 Longbow races to see if i can produce a Trixie to keep you ticking over.

Beverley

15:25:
This is just woeful , gobsmackingly shite ( please feel free to add further adjectives ) and doesnt deserve a place on any racing calendar...however it is so lets deal with it.
A 5f sprint with form let alone wins very very thin on the ground so i think COMPARABLE who is the only runner to gain a win this year which was also over this CD who is 10/1 is a stand out bet for this.His last three runs have all been over this CD and also here at Beverley so its home territory and it was only the latter run which really disappointed with the other two being the win and a close up 5th in a bunch finish so i will presume a run of similar ilk may well be good enough.

1705: 
This is a Hcap just shy of 1m and has a healthy field of 12 with almost a stone difference in the weights yet the form is comparable across the board with all runners so it may pay to look towards the bottom of the hcap in this.
Well i do quite like the form data on the Fav Hucolt in this but i will still take it on as its his Juvenile form giving his ratings a boost and on latter day figures there is very little to separate these so i will have an EW Dutch on MAKE ON MADAM & RELIGHT MY FIRE , the former is upped in grade after a tidy win over CD lto but produced figures good enough to get her in the mix and latter has had just the three runs this season but all have been over CD with a win and a run in 5th which should / could have been better had she decided not to hang and become awkward towards the finish so if she settles better than expect a stronger showing but much is to be taken on trust with these against a solid looking fav but at around 12/1 each this is a bet i feel you should at least break even on and with some luck may produce a nice profit.

17:35:
1m2f Hcap now and another tidy sized field but those at the base of the hcap look woeful and i would suggest sticking to the top half.
STORMIN TOM @ 5/1 looks a good solid bet in this raised only 4lbs after beating a couple of these last day over CD this won comfortably and looks good for a few pound more.

So there ya go , not a lot to aim at but enough to while away the afternoon , i would probably say Relight my Fire for the purpose of the Trixie and at decent enough odds just getting two placed is money back so fingers crossed for a smidgen of luck today ( i think a Patent may be a better bet today or if you can a Round Robin )

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