Tuesday, 7 July 2015

Tiresome Tuesday from Longbow >>>>>

Ah well its another weary dreary day of drudgery that calls itself Tuesday Racing and its far from being a glamfest its actually a snorefest but we do at least have two day Flat meetings to look thru and examine with Wolvo on the AW and Ponte on the Turf and both tracks are uniques in their own way and both will suit a certain type of runner we just have to able to spot that certain type...;)

Goldie Rounded of the Goldie/Dalgleish show at Ayr with yet another tasty winner or two with Two Winners and Two Seconds from 6 races giving him a great haul over the two days and this must be remembered for future meetings.

So LONGbow will again take a measured perusal of the days offerings and see if anything pops out,

PONTEFRACT

Race 1 today is a small field Nursery and offers nothing for me however i do know SHOW STEALER  ( 1st @ 3.11 ) is massively fancied by Sniper so it may be worth checking out his review of that over at Punters Pal.

The next is a no go for me as well ( 5 runner hcap ) but Race 3 is a interesting race  a 1m event that is both Class 1 and Listed with a perfect punting size of 9.
Temptress will be a red hot fav for this after a sterling run when getting placed lto in the Royal Hunt Cup and a repeat of that run may well be good enough but readers of my book will know that its as rare as an eclipse when a horse runs a lifetime best runs again next to the same level ( this doesnt include juveniles and lightly campaigned types open to bags of scope ) so at between Even Money and 6/4 im quite happy to look elsewhere as the balance of this betting book will ensure healthy prices throughout the field.
Temptress also looks to be a bit of an Ascot specialist with three recent runs there over 1m and all clocked at 1m40+ with the slowest hand timed at 1m42 which isnt exceptional by any means when you compare Epsom specialist Gratzie who has been running the same trip ( + 144Yards ) in a time almost identical and with almost half a furlong further to run but as mentioned Gratzie herself seems to only enjoy the cambers of Epsom so that could prove tricky as a selection.
Merry Me has form closely tied with Gratzie and does need to improve slightly to figure but that is not out of the question as this lightly raced filly could just have a few lbs extra to show and is right up there speedwise with the others.
No Poppy wont be a million miles away either but is rated to come 4th or 5th at best so is left alone by me.Queen Catrine has loads of ability but hates a battle and often goes down like the Belgrano when eye balled and i dont like putting investment into those types so i given a wide berth, there are two runners i really like in this tho and i will dutching these both at 10/1+,
PELERIN and REKDHAT both have excellent stand alone time figures from me both are rated correctly and both have the form past and present to make themselves a nuisance and i think that unless a few of these race right upto their marks or race carreer bests then these two could easily have this to themselves based on pure speed figures alone Temptress actually has 2L to find to just to match them..so " if " they race true to form then the fav has an awful lot to do and on that basis at 6/4 could easily qualify as LOTD...

Race 4 is perfect for me as it allows me to explore some creditable form lines and allow for some weight adjustments which might provide a decent priced selection.
Another Dutch bet for me as i like both the 7f raiders dropping back to 6f at a track with a stiff finish and they are EQUITY RISK and GRISSOM both of whom should run smart races and at 6/1 and 9/1 offer plenty of win or EW value.

Race 5 is left alone and so is race 6 whilst the finale offers only an Apprentice race to finish on and i would say Pamushana is probably the better bet here but Cumani might be taking the piss here with the jolly so is best left alone.

Over at WOLVERHAMPTON...
We start off there with a nice 6f Hcap with a pleasant 12 runners and we have old favourite RED CAPE running here and arriving in no form what so ever but is now racing off a weight some 14lb lower than his last decent CD effort but at 20/1 has to be worth sticking with for some EW fun as it will win again eventually and has become a lemming horse ( one you would follow off a cliff ) because you know the day you dont back it it will win.
But i cant leave my fortune in the hands of that one horse it simply must have some cover so i will also have DANZOE who has Won or been placed in 4 of its last 5 W/P efforts and although not great value does have the able assistance of AW magician Kirby so anything is possible and an EW dutch is well worth it.
Race 2 is dire but anything Loughlane runs in these events has to be considered strongly and with a CD winner and the booking of Kirby suddenly this race is of interest and i may have a little EW nibble on this ( LOGANS LAD ).
The third race is best left alone along with the fourth and fifth but Race 6 is a good punting race and BOOGANGOO simply has to be backed EW at around 8/1 ran last ( 5/5 ) lto but that was a much better race than this and all the horses in front are rated between 76-96 and given it was only beaten 5L by Enlace means that 5/5 form alone is good enough to win this and it had two rock solid runs in G5's prior gives one every confidence that this could shoulder carry most of these and win well and the price is imo rather generous.

The final two races offer nothing so that wraps up Wolverhampton and racing today.

SUMMARY:

EW TRIXIE ( s )

Red Cape/Danzoe - 1st @ 18.69 ( 16/1 )
Equity Risk/Grissom - Both Unplaced
Pelerin/Redkhat - 3rd @ 11/1 & 4th @ 12/1 ( Unplaced for bets )
Logans Lad ( EW L15 ) - 2nd @ 9/1

Combining all the Top rated ( Lead selections ) in multi £1 EW Trixies ( 32 bets ) would have resulted in a Net Profit of £87.00

BOOGANGOO EW NAP - 4th @ 11/2 ( Unplaced for bets )

**Bet models are guides of what i do and performance will always be ranked alongside Level Stake EW singles as Multiple bets cannot be used as a guide to performance or profitability.


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