Wednesday, 20 February 2013

Forgettable Wednesday...

Well today was a bit slow but tbh i expected it to be so and stakes went accordingly so all ended quite well as i traded on the fly for most of the day nipping bits n pieces and chipping up a healthy profit so no complaints here and in all honesty i cant expect to post a bag full of winners ever post as that just couldnt happen or be sustained , sometimes you have to cut your cloth accordingly and today was one of those days, i took a big loss on Swynmor but doubled up on Minella Forfitness so stayed in front after that and thats how it goes some days.
All said and done tho there has been some rather odd results over the last few days with a lot of favs getting turned over and a lot of form lines being reversed and ui cant blame the ground because its mainly as soft as its been all winter...On the Plus side my Bread n Butter which is PTS has been good this week after a negative start so that is pleasing and i doubled up on my nap selection today which was never in doubt ;).
Tmrw we have 3 moderate NH cards to look at with Ayr probably being the principal meeting in which Isla Pearl Fisher looks quite well in racing back over hurdles on a rating of just 97 ( 118 on the Chase ) and although this Gelding hasnt raced over Hurdles for some time if he can reproduce his Chase form then im afraid this is a done deal..but such is my confidence at the minute that until i re-enter the purple zone i will be keeping things simple and save my big bullets for the premier meetings where form has a truer meaning and is respected or upheld in a more prudent fashion.
I also like the look of SPIRIT OF A NATION ridden by Lucy Alexander even tho her dad has a runner ( ridden by younger brother ) and this is one of two Goldie runners but i think there is some shrewdie shenanigans going on with this class dropper and expect it win tmrw.
Tmrw we have an Epic NAP in the shape of THE TRACEY SHUFFLE a rare runner up at Ayr for the Pipe team and they rarely come up this far for a day out and this is also Tom Scud's only ride ( for his gaffer ) and this was backed off the boards lto as tho defeat was out of the question and now dropped in trip i expect this to gain compensation..max lump job for me!!.
And finally at Ayr we get to see Raya Star's ( fantastic horse ) brother running in the concluding NHF race , GREENSALT cost £30,000 and out of Milan this will be another El Lumpo for me as im a huge fan of the bloodline , jockey , trainer is still firing in the winners and this is another winner waiting to happen , so Ayr could either be glorious or expensive for me...we will see...
Over at Huntingdon i am giving TETLAMI one more chance to impress as it has a very subdued start to its chasing career winning an average 3 runner race then getting outclassed by Overturn but his two main rivals in this race Act of Kalanisi and Tonys Star are both ( or have shown to be ) poor jumpers and this is the class of race that Tetlami should be cleaning up in.
And at Soggy Sedgefield i am liking the look of Big Water as his run behind the progressive Duke of Navan now reads very strong and with AP booked i can see this running a stamina sapping race to kill of the threat of Three Kingdoms , also SOUDAIN another AP ride but this a Dom Alco gelding and will be followed on that basis.
TWICE LUCKY is worth one more chance in a weak looking race this showed a hint of a revival lto and if recapturing some old form then would be in the places no doubt.
Not forgetting there is another stellar card at Meydan  with one stand out selection in RUSSIAN SOUL who races in the finale , well over due a good win but will have to be ridden to perfection by Foley.
So thats a brief round up of what to expect tmrw as full cards and a detailed analysis of races is being now kept for the big meetings and Saturdays as im finding them very time consuming and a thankless task....
Its looking like the Big Saturday card will be for Kempton with a couple of tasty races to review and a good day all in all....So until tmrw , sleep well , keep smiling and keep the faith ;)


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