Friday, 15 February 2013

Oh My...

Morning All , had another great Smash n Grab yesterday and another profitable day and i absolutely smashed the football and i was going to post up my green screens but i just thought nah..you dont need to see em ( although i have shown a few members with whom i was chatting with last night ) but yesterday was easily the best day of football trading i have ever had...
As we move up the gears a bit and move towards the weekend i am starting to feel my buzz coming back after having a very easy week and doing very little , this has recharged me and helped me gather my focus as i feel that too often you can get stuck in a rut and lose that magic bit of edge you need.
We do have quite a good looking set of cards to go at over the weekend as more n more Cheltenham hopefuls stake there claim or try to prove themselves and others looking to take advantage of grade drops and light weights and today we will try and get some roll built up to attack the weekends runners and i do have 6 yes 6 NAPS!!!!....well in reality you can only have 1 stand out NAP so i will show you my Six Shooter of Naps and discuss what i feel are there real relative chance on a scale of 1 - 5 and try and highlight one that i feel is " The " NAP to hammer...
So heres my Six for today...

1. PISTOL - ( 2.18 ) ( 4.5/5 ) - * MASTER NAP * - 1st @ 2.19 ( BooooooM Get In !! )
13:20 Sandown , This i feel has an outstanding chance on form after running a very sound race 1st time out coming 2nd to the nice sort Vasco D;ycy but more importantly was 6L clear of the third ( and 30L back to remainder ) Saphir Du Rheu a nice sort from the Nicholls yard and this has franked the form by winning next time out giving a thumping to the progressive God of the Kop which in turn had previously run a good race until tiring late on against the very promising Puffin Billy so all collateral form suggests this has nothing to fear from this field and barring mistakes and allowing for natural improvement ( not that it needs to ) this should be winning today and will attract a large bet from me.
****************************************
2. UTOPIE DES BORDES - ( 2.18 ) - ( 5/5 ) - 1st @ 2.38
14:25 Sandown , This backed big lto running on a feather weight and this won quite cosily as it should have done ( form line through Fago suggesting this should be quite useful ) and even with the interesting Twigline here i cannot see these having the mustard to beat this , a decent hurdler and a better chaser this easily stays this 2m4f trip ( gets further ) likes most ground types and proven in these conditions , travels well, quickens and battles , this is a proper horse and should be far too good for these and is another that is imo very big at 2.18...Another large bet from me.
*****************************************
3. MASTER OF THE GAME - ( 1.72 ) - ( 3.5/5 ) - 3rd ( LEVIATHAN 2nd )
15:30 Sandown , This is effectively a two horse race between Tominator and my Mater of the Game with both having a little something to prove.
" If " Master of the game has trained well ( wont lack for fitness ) and can run to a minimum of the form previously shown then i feel that it will be good enough to secure a win , Tominator won nicely on his introduction but then faded badly when upped in grade , a grade which i feel the fav is capable of competing in and its overall profile suggests its a more consistent beast and certainly more trustworthy.
My bet here is a LAY on Leviathan as i feel this has absolutely no fucking chance what so ever and even at 8.8...this will be easy money...lump this lay and fill your boots..satisfaction guaranteed 100%!!
******************************************
4. EVERDON BROOK - ( 2.36 ) - ( 4/5 ) - Unplaced ( 3rd ) - Ran patiently out the back , jumped tardily and never really put into the race , odd tactical ride.
14:15 Fakenham , This could turn out to be this years Hunt Ball as 2 years ago this was racing off a lowly 88 and its form dipped so much that just about a year ago it dropped to a very poor 73 now after a complete revitalisation job and a change of stable this has risen 36lb in the ratings since that change and is very much a horse full of confidence and is showing some real ability after lto beating a good looking Grade 3 field ( this is a drop in grade ) in a  authoritarian manner and should be followed until this bubble bursts - Decent Mid size bet for me.
*******************************************
5. FREE THINKING - ( 1.66 ) - ( 5/5 ) - 1st @ 1.41
16:30 Fakenham , This Demolished his field on the poly over 2m and if that form translates to the turf then this wins easy although that race wasnt strong this is no better but the price is an issue as i feel 1.66 is as low as it shud be imo this should be nearer 1.92-2.12 and it was available at 1.98 this morning but all the early money has gone which is a great shame so i will wait till nearer the off to decide on how much and what price ( may end up a BTB BFSP bet )...what ever happens i will be Max Lumping this ;-).
********************************************
6. NO RUNNER -
********************************************4 winning bets from 5 = a very good day and a happy me ;-)
 So there we have it , in just the five for today as 1 is now a non runner from last night , some big bets from me today and i will also have all five in Trebles...Fingers crossed for a good day , oh and dont forget to MAX LAY leviathan..this will not be winning...i will be covering ALL of todays costs with this lay!!..get on and have a great day all , ttfn x

Translate

Copy Halt