Wednesday, 20 February 2013

G'Day All , Whats a Crackin' ;-)

Yesterday was a tale of two countries, big loss in Ireland and Big wins in UK so that means i will now leave all Orish racing alone as its the devils playground.
Racing picks up a bit today with a quite attractive looking Doncaster card ( fairly local track > 25m away ) and a place that suffers derision but a place i like.
Quite often mid week i find it hard to decide which way to blog and what is the best call as i try and find you guys ( n gals ) some winners and a bit more input on a day to day basis would help ease the frustration as i dont want to leave all the busy days blank but Donny is what i would class as a grade 1 track and it will get some focus today , so i think today we can brief our way through the card, looking at runners i like , fancy and favs that are beatable and hopefully we can muster a few bets together...

DONCASTER

RACE 1 : SO FINE : Unplaced
P n L on this race : Broke Even as Private Equity hit 2.4 in the run and laid it for my stakes.
Summary : Couldn't have got this any more wrong as both the Henderson pair come home first and second as the Hobbs pair both fell away rather poorly.
A small field Novice Chase to start the day and this is a Hobbs V Henderson match with both supplying two each of the 4 runners and with neither of the Hendo Runners appearing to be proper stayers i think this is going to the Hobbs yard but which one? as they are both Distance winners , both in a bit of form although So Fine was disappointing lto against Rocky Creek but had previously beaten a few good sorts over 3m at Kempton in what looks like a decent race but is now conceding weight all round.
Personally i will just be dutching the Hobbs pair and looking to lay Private Equity in the run , for the purposes of a win selection i will say rather unconvincingly SO FINE.
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RACE 2 : SWYNMOR : 3rd @ 1.63
P n L : Loss
Summary : this was beaten a long way out , travelled off the pace but never looked comfortable and then ran on at the death to snatch 3rd, beaten fair n square and the jury is out on this one.
Now we have a nice little Juvenile Hurdle and this race carries today's MASTER NAP in the shape of SWYNMOR , This has had 2 runs to date , firstly a victory over a decent yardstick in Amoralist ( Henderson ) and then it was full of running when in the lead and falling at the last in a race won by Ruacana ( Ferguson ) and it would have won that race for sure and this race is his for the taking , with only 2 runners of any real merit i will be surprised if this doesnt win handsomely before taking up a pitch at Cheltenham.
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RACE 3 : ( EW ) - SWING BILL - 4th ( hd )
P n L = Loss
Summary : Ran a fair race, no complaints ul not to get my place losing out by a head.
Next up is a very tricky looking Veterans Chase over 3m , some old school quality here but most if not all are on the down grade so working out which is most in shape and ready for this is no mean feat.
Marufo and Dashing George are the " form " choices , Swing Bill is the " Class " and Zitenka is the " Most Interesting " as i always sit up and take note when AP rides for the Easterby's.
In a Tough , Trappy and competitive race my bet and selection is an EW on SWING BILL 4th lto in the Listed Becher Chase at Aintree and not beat that far is Gteed to stay , travels and jumps well and has a jockey riding i like and i feel this is a solid bet for today in an unconventional race.
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RACE 4 : ( EW ) MINELLA FORFITNESS - 1st @ 3.30
P n L = Win
Summary : Finally a win and an all out victory over the promising Cheltanian with Valdez running well for 3rd.
Now a Hcap , Novice Hurdle Qualifier a race jam packed with intrigue and untapped potential and easily the most interesting runner here is Cheltanian who hasnt been seen out since winning the Champion Bumper at the 2011 Festival , this could be absolutely anything but is for me best watched today.
MINELLA FORFITNESS has to be the selection based on its lto win beating the highly regarded Zuider Zee and the enigmatic but non staying Aim to Prosper , this drop in trip should be no problem , the ground is fine and BG takes the ride and this surely has to be there at the finish , Snake Eyes has been disappointing , New Years Eve always flatters to deceive and is a doubtful stayer leaving just Valdez as the key challenger holding his form very well running fine races at Plumpton beating Asker comfortably and prior to that got beat easy but not by far in another very high class Qualifier that was won by Melodic Rendezvous but also included the likes of Eduard , Village Vic and Mr Watson so is entitled to get into the places.
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RACE 5 : ( EW * ) - VELATOR -
P n L =
Time for potentially the most competitive race of the day and its a large field 3m Hcap hurdle where cases can be soundly made for the majority of the field , this will only attract a minuscule investment from me as this is one of those races where you need a trusty magic pin!!.
My three EW selections in this race are VELATOR , HOT WHISKEY & ENTER PARADISE.
The first named would be my stand alone selection as im a fan of the yard and the rider, they can ready a horse from a long lay off and its proven over trip and on this ground, and as the field by and large have shown their collective hands this could easily be upto getting involved.
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RACE 6 :  EW - SIMPLY SMASHING -
P n L = NO BET
The Foxhunters Trial...a race beset with caution signs!!...i am saying with extreme caution SIMPLY SMASHING ( EW ) , if fit this could easily get into the mix, stays forever but is as old as time itself,although realistically this should go the way of Dantes Peak or Rumbury Grey....this is a race for loose change only...
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RACE 7 : ( EW ) - SIR TOBY TYLER -
P n L =
A tasty looking NHF race to round off this card and with quite a few running from my breeders list its a tough call but i am going to row in with an EW on SIR TOBY TYLER from a yard that are very smart at these events and have a good strike rate and the price is very attractive.
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A decent looking card for a Wednesday with some good quality horses in play , backed up with some interesting sorts at Ludlow and Lingers today should again be another good day, have fun all ;)

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