Saturday, 4 May 2013

1000 Guineas Day...

Yes it the day for the ladies or Fillies as we call them ;) , its the 1000 Guineas and will Hot Snap be able to Emulate today's 2000 Guineas winner Dawn Approach who demolished a very strong ( but suspect ) field?!/.

Can we indeed emulate Saturdays Blog as we hit 5 winners from 7 races including a nice double figure Price winner in the first ;)....Hmm , well beating 5 from 7 is tough and my average of 4 will suffice but getting those extra Multi's up certainly helps swell the coffers.

So a bit more of the same will be nice to make this a truly great Bank Holiday Weekend ;)
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                                                      NEWMARKET

RACE 1
WIN - STENCIVIE -
EW - WILLIE WAG TAIL -
LONG - SUEGIOO - 2nd @ 17.50
*

SUMMARY ( BET ADVICE ) -  Starting off this Glorious Sunday with a nice looking 1m4f Hcap that has quite a bit of class about it with several of these closely matched and hunting the winner down here will be very difficult.
Most of this field for starters are making their seasonal debuts and there will no doubt be several improvers coming in with some big runs so i think i shall go with my breeders list here as a solid guideline.
The first for me to mention is WILLIE WAG TAIL a very consistent sort who races without attitude and always gives a good showing , this is very lightly raced at 4 only ever had 7 races only unplaced twice ( technically 3 times but the 4th was harsh  ) and their were legitimate excuses for those runs in fact the quoted 4th ^^ was in a big Hcap at York where it went off @ 9/2F and was severely balked and hampered 2f out and was switched but unable to regain his full momentum and still only went down less than a length which was a superb run in defeat and a similar performance will see him in the shake up for sure.
Next up is STENCIVIE another good honest consistent type who generally likes to race off the pace or in the rear and then weave thru the field with a late master charge and getting master weaver Richard Hughes to do the steering is a great booking as Stencivie will enjoy the tactics and ride from Hughes and im sure he will make his presence felt.
Finally i also think SUEGIOO will get a great clip through this , lto was 4th but in a 4 way Photo for first and is a real gutsy , tough as teak battler and the winner of this will have to earn it the hard way with this in the way , great competitive race to start the day off.

BET ADVICE - EW on WILLIE WAG TAIL for me , i am not confident of the win but i feel it has a great chance at placing and at 11.0 or higher i think this is a cracking bet.
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RESULT - Willie Wag Tail went off at 6.56 so any of you that got on at 11.0 or higher , i hope you traded ;).
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RACE 2

WIN - SHIROCCO STAR - 4th
EW - THISTLE BIRD - 3rd
LONG - CHIGUN - 2nd @ 4.93
*

SUMMARY ( BET ADVICE ) - This race only concerns 3 runners and they are the Class Act which is SHIROCCO STAR , CHIGUN & THISTLE BIRD and even at the current early odds you can dutch these top side of 1.40 which is an amazing fucking bet!!!!!!.....empty every bank account you have and fill your fucking huge boots as this my friends is one of the best bets of the year.....This is easier than finding money in the street!!.

BET ADVICE - 3 WAY Dutch @ 1.40 *MAX BET* - Loss ( oh deary me, that was expensive ;(( , Incredibly Chigun was done at 1.01 !!! , with both thistle Bird and Shirocco Star done at 1.23 and 1.68....just incred....if you backed this i hope you got some ridic low trades in ~!!! )
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RESULT - 
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RACE 3

WIN - POOLE HARBOUR - 3rd @ 15.31
EW - LADYSHIP -
LONG - GOLDREAM -
*

SUMMARY ( BET ADVICE ) - Now after all that excitement we have another tough as teak 6f " find your pin " Hcap....LADYSHIP is worth a mention as its a Stoute runner but too many of these Chevereley Runners flatter to deceive and have become expensive to follow however if this were to win i wouldnt be at all surprised.
GOLDREAM has some decent figures to back up the consistency of its form and is worth a go at some fancy prices.
And POOLE HARBOUR who is fast as Fuck if in the mood but is so damn untrustworthy , Back this or get Stuart Hall to do some Babysitting??...thats the type of dilemma faced here....
& to top it all off we have my old favourite ( who will again be getting more of my Bastard cash the fucking slow as shit twat that will win the day i DONT back it ) SHROPSHIRE.......This review has been fucking written and sponsored for you today by the bastards at Tourettes Research ( the Cunts ) .

BET ADVICE - * No Bet * If i had to i would say a very speculative and rather retarded EW on Both POOLE HARBOUR and me ol' comrade SHROPSHIRE...but seriously if your lumping in this your a fucking mentalist.
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RESULT - 
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RACE 4

Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (200th Running) (British Champions Series) (Fillies' Group 1)


WIN - HOT SNAP - ( NAP ) -
EW - WHAT A NAME -
LONG - N/A -
*

SUMMARY ( BET ADVICE ) - A rather lower key race than yesterdays but dont expect any shocks unless your in a bath full of water and have some toast on the go and have the toaster nestled between your legs....as HOT SNAP looks different motherfucking gravy ( Looks like the cunt with Tourettes is writing this as well , either that or hes a fucking Cocker err knee ) this Beautiful looking daughter of Pivotal won in the fashion of something rather special lto and fto this term and i see nothing here to stop this and on my ratings alone based on that lto run the speed and form rating is good enough to have won the last 6 runnings of this race so i see this winning without further improvement and another classic for Cecil with the same tactics, let the fuckers burn off up front and sweep in the final fucking furlong....
The Frenchie is worthy of some cover as well tho tbh as i like the way her form reads..WHAT A NAME...Not really interested in anything else..so find your own Longshot ;0
** I also have this in a mega ante post Double with Dawn Approach**

BET ADVICE - MAX WIN bet on HOT SNAP - 
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RESULT - Beaten 3f out...
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RACE 5

WIN - WINDFAST - 2nd @ 7/2
EW - CROWDMANIA -
LONG - WIND FIRE -
*

SUMMARY ( BET ADVICE ) -  For such a high profile day this is somewhat of a disappointing maiden and looking at all the bloodlines this would be better suited held at SANTA ANITA or KENTUCKY not Newmarket...im gonna be honest here i havent a scooby what to make of this and i will be rowing in with my gut feeling.....time to get the Kettle on...might even grab a scone and just miss this shit all together...

BET ADVICE 
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RESULT -
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RACE 6

WIN - VANITY RULES -
EW - MADAME DEFARGE - 3rd @ 6.43
LONG - MAGIC OF REALITY -
*

SUMMARY ( BET ADVICE ) - The Pretty Polly Stakes a decent event won by just one decent animal in the last 10 years and a grave yard for favourites and Lady Nouf  will probably go off as Fav and for no real reason other than some gusto from the trainer stating she was the best thing ever since the invention of Oxygen...the stupid twat...yeah thats right fucktards all start backing a horse because although it ran like a dog the Trainer likes it so its a sure thing!!...fucks sake!!...Leave it out , MAGIC OF REALITY is another " Talking Horse " ( none can actually speak so its all bollocks ) is another vaunted for great things and ran as green as grass fto even tho it went off as a heavily punted Fav ( Lambs to the..... ) and is another that should improve ( cant regress from being utter shit so the only way is up ) , Cruck Realta should be renamed Cruck o Shit , I do like MADAME DEFARGE and fancy this Oaks entrant to run a decent race ( at least it has actually acheived something in winning it maiden , albeit in bog like ground ) but for me i think the winner could be VANITY RULES  a long striding daughter of New Approach should improve considerably from a couple of average performances from last season and Gosden is decent at bringing these on and Buick should get a good from this in a rather lack lustre race.

BET ADVICE - Stay in the Kitchen , grab another Scone ~ lardy and put the Kettle on , masturbate the dog , do anything but bet in this shit....* Gun to my head and its an EW on VANITY RULES.
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RESULT - 
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RACE 7

WIN - SOVIET STAR - 1st @ 3.15
EW - MAKAFEH -
LONG - HIGH TROJA - 3rd @ 5.28
*

SUMMARY ( BET ADVICE ) - Trappy race to finish the day off and i can only find the enthusiasm to back read twom runners and they are SOVIET ROCK & MAKAFEH who both look the most likeliest to make the frame and have any chance of winning as there are so many negatives surrounding the remaining runners.**Pure Excellence looks the pick of the Johnston pair but neither make much appeal at the weights. High Troja won easily at Leicester last month but is 9lb higher in this more competitive affair, while Carry On Sydney keeps finding one too good and is still creeping up the weights and this is a much better race that the one in which Naru failed to justify favouritism at Beverley. SOVIET ROCK got off the mark at York in October and continued his improvement by scoring over today's course and distance on his reappearance. A hat-trick beckons for Andrew Balding's Rock Of Gibraltar gelding as Barnaby Brook only won a Kempton maiden in March and Makafeh will probably stay further this year.

BET ADVICE - EW DUTCH on SOVIET STAR and MAKAFEH
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RESULT - 
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TODAY'S BEST BET IS...

1. HOT SNAP , WIN - Lost

BEST EW BET - 

1. WILLIE WAG TAIL - Lost

SUNDAY PRO BET - 

1. The 3 Way Dutch in Race 2 ( 14:35 ) , this is an outstanding bet - Lost
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