Thursday, 12 April 2012

Grand National Week - Day 1

Yes its that crazy ol time of year the week of the Grand National and you may well see many a picture of a horse ( to the left ) on its back laughing after its managed to tip its jockey off!!...Seriously its a great few days off pretend racing  filling the void created by a lack of substantial flat action ;-))..arf arf!!.
Its a great Festival week with a host of big names coming out to play , some looking to cement their rank in the game , others wanting to make up for a disappointing Cheltenham and others that have been laid out for a specific race whatever the reason each and every race is keenly contested and will be competitive to the max!.
I will over the next few days issue a card for the big meeting only as its worthy of my time and consideration , i will try my best to highlight one or two winners and make this a profitable few days , if anyone has any generic or otherwise questions or advice then please just ask.
Also you will Note the You Tube type box in the right hand corner well thats actually an advert , from a new Viral Ad company may i ask you to " click click " the ad and help support the blog and increase the prize pool for future comps (* only click if its of interest to you ) ,
Onto todays Race Card then.

RACE 1 : Aintree 14:00 
BGC Partners Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1)
£100000.00 added, 4yo plus, 3m 110y, Class 1
BACK - BIG BUCKS ( NAP ) - 1st @ 1.26
*Seriously....a fantastic way to open the week but why even try and look past this? , currently the best staying hurdler in the world and one of the best that has ever been , i see no reason to try and go against this. i will say however that from a betting perspective i feel backing Smad Place @ 1.5 for a place is a better bet than backing Big Bucks to win both look nailed on imo ( possible SFC? ).
RESULT - Amazingly Easy.
RACE 2 : Aintree 14:30 
Matalan Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)
£100000.00 added, 4yo only, 2m 110y, Class 1
BACK - GRUMETI - 1st @ 3.80
*A fascinating race with so many meeting again after the Triumph Hurdle including the winner that day Countrywide Flame and the market leaders and placed horses including GRUMETI , Pearl Swan , Dodging Bullets and Saddlers Risk.
Now there are a couple of potential Improvers in this race in Hinterland and Lyvius and a couple of unknown sorts but they all have it do to break into what i consider to be the Top Three in this race, the Three im most Keen on are GRUMETI , Pearl Swan and Countrywide Flame with the former my slight favourite as i feel that would have won the Triumph but for making a few errors and mistake feel today will take all the beating, That said im also a big fan of Pearl Swan , a beautiful looking horse packed with class and ability to match again with a clear round i fully expect it to be bang there then you have the reigning champ CF a horse with obvious ability, winning form , stays all day and has the gears although i do feel its not as good as the other two and will need luck in running to win again.
Dodging Bullets looks like the current 2nd Fav...That will not be Winning and i will be emptying my wallet to get this laid!!.
***Update ( 13:21 ) : Countrywide Flame is now the EW selection*** - 2nd @ 5.13
RACE 3 : Aintree 15:05 
Betfred Bowl Chase (Grade 1)
£150000.00 added, 5yo plus, 3m 1f, Class 1
BACK - BURTON POINT - ( PLACE NAP ) - 2nd @ 5.0
*A fantastic looking race and fascinating as well due to Hunt Ball , a horse that has risen from a rating last year of just 66 to an enormous 142 now!! has won 7 of its last 8 races and shown himself to be quite remarkable , remarkable it is its own grade as personally as much as i would love to see this win i simply cannot see it overhauling the Tank the is Riverside Theatre!.
Looking at the race it is not impossible that Hendo wont have a 1/2/3 in this as he has such a strong hand , i simply cannot see Hunt Ball winning this.

RACE 4 : Aintree 15:40 
John Smith's Fox Hunters' Chase (National Course)
£35000.00 added, 6yo plus, 2m 5f 110y, Class 2
BACK - THE POLOMOCHE - ( 14.5 ) -fell
EW - SIZING AMERICA ( 130.0 ) - 6th ( went off at 90.6 , hit 32 in running , only beaten about 5 lengths, not far away )
*WoW a ridic tough race...this is a pinstickers heaven!!, Gwanako is the obvious " class " in the race and at 5.3 is well worth an EW punt but i feel its erratic and unconvincing jumping will let him down here and with that im going look at some roughies.
Sizing America with the capable Alan Berry riding is worth a dabble along with The Polomoche and Presentandcorrect , these are it has to be pointed out a speculative look at trying to hit a decent EW against the favs and obvious.
RACE 5 : Aintree 16:15 Red Rum Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
£60000.00 added, 5yo plus, 2m, Class 1
EW - ECHO BOB - 3rd @ 37.6
*A nice 2m Hcap chase where again Hendo is mob handed and has a live chance with Tanks for That but i much prefer the look of a couple of the feather weights SONG SUNG BLUE and Echo Bob with the former of most Interest as its racing off a weight so low the horse will probably think its unbridled and racing round a big paddock!...With a no weight , a bit of fair form , decent yard and a price of 36.0 im very happy having a tickle with this along with Echo Bob @ 34.0 both of which look great for a trade , and with a 102% book and they are the rank outsiders shows how tight this really is.
The selections for this race are not based on Speed or TF ratings , these selections are my " fun " alternative choices in an otherwise wide open affair.
RACE 6 :Aintree 16:50 
Betfred Manifesto Novices' Chase (Grade 1)
£75000.00 added, 5yo plus, 2m 4f, Class 1
*PEPITE ROSE looks the one to be concentrating on here imo , a solid resolute jumper with no known character flaws and will run well on all surfaces ( not concrete tho imo ) and will put the field to the sword a long way out.
Al Ferof is a superb animal and maybe a star in waiting maybe even a future Gold Cup winner but that is all ifs and buts, for now he has shown some very decent form but it is losing form albeit getting thrashed by Sprinter Sacre is no biggee as most horses would and the 4 length 3rd behind Somersby and Finians Rainbow is decent but i still dont think hes ready for this.
Menorah has all the class in the world but cant jump for shit and is a moody shite and will never carry my cash back or lay.
Alasi is racing way out of her depth imo and Cristal Bonus has it all to prove after a very lacklustre run in the Jewson although would be bang there if running to true form.
RACE 7 :Aintree 17:25 
Silver Cross Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)
£45000.00 added, 4yo plus, 3m 110y, Class 1
*A super tough 3m Hcap Hurdle to round the day off...excellent just what you dont want for a " getting out stakes " race..sigh...ok then if you have done your bollocks in at this stage what shall we do?....i really like the look of GULLINBURSTI and i have spoke to IDK regarding this and Emma wont hear of defeat nor Ian , they was convinced lto tho as well but felt that without the couple of errors it would have won and if im down at this stage im just going to lump the single here.
If im up and doing well then i m ay have a smaller Dutch with these as well , Oscar Prairie and Trustan Times.

There ya go for today, not much in the way of quality value bets with Gullinbursti probably being the best as Big Bucks is predictably 1/1000 ;-0 , but some good big odds ew shouts and some great races to watch and enjoy , great looking day overall.
Have fun, enjoy, good Luck....keep supporting the Blog , Lets win ;-) 


Copy Halt