Wednesday, 18 April 2012

Its Early Evening...and its time to get ready for NEWMARKET tmrw ;-)

Yes that would be lovely if it was indeed the view from my rear or indeed front Window..Nonetheless it is still early evening and its still cold and wet.....and no matter how much rain we get we will still be in a state of drought because like everything else in this godforsaken country its managed by complete fuckwits whose only concern is the share price.
Moving on...Yesterday or as i write this today was a great success as i managed to win laying all the rather low priced beaten favs today , yeah i hit a couple as well but when liabilities are low its easy ( and foolish, but hey ho thats how i roll ) to compound losses and roll onto the next a bit like like a reversing martingdale system ;-)) , also had quite a few decent winners today from 1.37 to 21.0 so a good range , again the daily best bet won albeit at 1,37 but quite a lot if not most DBB's are at prohibitive odds as they are all about profit not glory......So moving onto Thursday we will be looking at Newmarket again and another Monster 8 race card , again we will shall try uncover value, find beatable favs and make some money.....
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RACE 1
BACK - THIS IS NICE - NON RUNNER -
EW - ROYAL STEPS -
OUTSIDER - SEREPHIMA -
* Leaving all Hannon debutants alone at this Juncture as its my understanding is they are mostly short on work and are all benefiting from a run or two so on that basis im leaving Tassel out.
Alan Bailey is in great form so his Serephima has to be in with a shout , both Dascombe and Tate can ready a winner first time out and both are worth chancing at nice odds.
** And Hannons Wins , Ran green hanging its head all over but still won well, broke quick, stayed in the van and pushed out , nice run.
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RACE 2
BACK - MUKHADRAM - 2nd @ 4.87
EW - GOLD EDITION - NON RUNNER -
OUTSIDER - SKY KHAN -
* The Wood Ditton and a Blue Bloods Wet Dream , amazing looking line up and this field is surely packed with future winners but which is going to be the most forward , without the advantage of a paddock eye or " word " im gonna have to do it " old school "....
With a plethora of A Rabs knocking about its hard to tell what is most liked or what their condition is, guessing with the Jockey Bookings and price tag is a speculative old game, ive gone for breeding a my magic Pin.
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RACE 3
BACK - MICKADAAM ( NAP ) - 2nd @ 6.40
EW - COUPE DE VILLE -
OUTSIDER - HANDSOME MAN -
*MICKADAAM has form which puts him a mile clear of these and i will be shocked if he cant manage to rout these.
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RACE 4
BACK - ELUSIVITY -
EW - MAYSON - 1st @ 5.47
OUTSIDER - NEW PLANET -
*A very tricky looking Abernat a 6f sprint where a lot of clues have to be taken on trust so i am going to roll this purely on my own old PRP ratings and see what happens.
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RACE 5
BACK - MOST IMPROVED - ( NB ) - NON RUNNER -
EW -
OUTSIDER - TRUMPET MAJOR - 1st @ 6.0
*Been searching my damnest to find holes in this and go against , i desperately wanted to have this as my lotd but just cannot, simply i cannot find any holes in its form, fitness shouldn't be an issue the yard are in rude health , Fallon is booked , and its currently 2nd FAV for the 2000 Guineas...Everything points to this winning , so im afraid i am going to have to row in as well..sorry guys n gals.
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RACE 6
BACK - TAZAHUM -
EW - AFSARE -
OUTSIDER - PRINCE SIEGFRIED -
*Now a tricky Sefton Stakes and another Favourite begging to be taken on..Twice Over..Beaten in this same race when Odds On last year and albeit the Sir HRAC is in better form this year Twicey is also now a 7 yr old and although his opposition are not much younger im gonna take a punt against him and Lay although i am doing so knowing full well that if Twicey is fully fit and in good order it would monster these!.
Whats for me ?...Quite Simply the field....*Twice Over beaten into 2nd ;-)
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RACE 7
BACK - QAADIRA -
EW - SALACIA -2nd @ 3.18
OUTSIDER - ISATIS -
*Grab the Ouija Board and go with the flow ;-)
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RACE 8
BACK - MAIN SEQUENCE - 1st @ 3.35
EW - MARTIN CHUZZLEWIT -
OUTSIDER - AHZEEMAH - 2nd @ 12.5
*Main Sequence will need to run well in this in order to justify its Dante entry.....
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Updates, Extras and Salacious gossip all to follow tmrw..ttfn x

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