Wednesday, 18 April 2012

Hmm , Morning!!

Yes good morning indeed im sat here light headed , woozy , and full of flu!!....Fuck me i need a smoke ;-@@....But i will not give in!!!.....
Finding it hard at times to focus and concentrate.....3,2,1 and your back in the room!!.....
On the Racing front we had a fairly solid Day hitting a nice little 2/2 double which warms us up nicely for the week , and the Flat Season ( for me anyway ) really Kicks into life today with the Big Newmarket meeting ( duty free , Nell Gwynn ) and a couple of others also being ably supported with a little NH action at some gaff track called Cheltenham..that shud keep the In breds happy!!

As for today i think we can do a full card for Newmarket ,

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RACE 1
BACK - MUTTAFAKIR -
EW - COGITO - 1st @ 21.10
MULTI - MOSS HILL -
*On paper this looks a tough and competitive Maiden however dig deeper and you'll find......nothing changes!! , sigh this race is full of under performers , under achievers and halfwits and thats just the Jockeys! , The horses dont seem to fair much better , with so many apparent non stayers in the field its a guessing game as to whether or not they have grown into themselves.
The One horse i find supremely interesting is MOSS HILL ( 70.0 ) The Hills family have trained the winner of this race for 4 of the last 10 years and they already have in Qannaas and its the Fav so why would Son Charlie Enter this horse owned by his father and former trainer Barry Hills and get the son to ride??..This is indeed a poser of a question....
Of those with race course experience it would appear that Paddyfrommenio and Muttafakir  are the two most likely to enjoy this trip and more as the others up to press either weakened , or showed a lack of gears in their mainly 6f races.
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RACE 2
BACK - BAILEYS JUBILEE - ( NAP ) - 1st @ 1.37
EW -
MULTI -
*I think the price is shit but i do have this down on my ratings as the best 2yr old out so far , Thrashed the very heavily backed and future winner Lyric Ace , also comfortably beat Marvelino and coupled with a PRP rating of nearly a second more than Dreamy Ciara , this looks Nailed on! , i cannot see DC winning here but i can see one of the two newcomers running on for a place as both are quite choicely bred.
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RACE 3
BACK - SAMITAR -
EW - OUT DO -
MULTI - BALTY BOYS -
*Very tough race with a lot of quality about, Valbcheck is my LOTD today , ridic race to enter him into needs to find at least 24lb in improvement to get competitive, 2nd lifetime run and that is as a three yr old...Nah i dont think so!!...VALBCHECK did Win @ 6.05 and Won well, Improving  and improved with more to come, i would suggest 100+
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RACE 4
BACK - TELWAAR - 1st @ 6.0
EW - BANNOCK - 2nd @ 5.4
MULTI - HAZAZ - ( 3rd @ 17.0 )
*A trappy little renewal of the European Duty Free ( Listed ) Hcap and i have this down as a straigh 4 way fight between Bannock ( Fastest PRP rating ) , Zumbi ( raced 3rd behind some useful types but beating eased horses ) , Telwaar ( same speed ratings as all bar Bannock ) and Hazaz ( totally unpredictable but does have a 3rd in the Horris Hill thats puts him 2nd fastest and right in the mix )......Now although i like the look of Zumbi and think its race when 3rd was a rock solid effort at 2.26 i am going to have to field against it.
This is not to say i dont feel it can win as it has a very obvious chance if improving and if has strengthened thru the winter i just feel for what it has done and what it is " expected to do " the price is too short , i had it down at 3.6 which i feel was a fair price not the uber skinny 2.2+, i have Dutched those three at BFSP and expect some fair prices and a fair run.
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RACE 5
BACK - PIMPERNEL -
EW - RUSSELLIANA -
MULTI - NAYARRA - 3rd @ 28.90
*The Nell Gwynn , and this looks very tough with a lot of potential improver's and growers , a lot already have some quite useful looking form , One that i really like here is RUSSELLIANA although i always thought that anything under 1m would be too short a trip as she seems to only get wound up late on .
Personally i dont like Pimpernel , i know my ratings have it as back choice and most likely winner , but for me ..i just dont think so.
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RACE 6
BACK - PERENNIAL -
EW - JUNGLE BEAT -
MULTI - PEMBREY -
*Tough Call with a chance or a cursory word for all and a case for most , again this is another race in which i feel the fav is too short and exposed ( maybe im just anti fav today ? ) .
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RACE 7
BACK - SHANTARAM - 2nd @ 2.31 ( hit 1.01 in running )
EW - ALL THAT RULES -
MULTI - YAZDI - 3rd @ 27.11
*
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RACE 8
BACK - BALLESTEROS -
EW - HEERAAT - 3rd @ 13.11
MULTI - DESERT PHILOSOPHER -
*
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Other Races to note...None as i have run out of time on here , Good luck ttfn x

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